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28 Short Season A-Ball

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  1. Not sure if this was mentioned but Elias and Sig put a high emphasis on USA baseball team results. For the 2019 team: kjerstad Avg. 396. Oba .426. Slg 691. Ops 1117 at bats 47 martin. 250/. 321 / 396. Ops 717. At bats 48 Maybe this is a good side by side comparison.
  2. The draft strategy was akin to a nfl team. The team trades down and collects more picks in the lower rounds. Kjerstad was the 8th overall talent so Elias swap the #2 pick Martin for #8 Kjerstad + Mayo 1.75 mil pick roughly #42 value according to the slot money + Baumler 1.5 mil pick roughly #49 value. In essence, He traded back from 2 to 8 and got two extra #2 picks. I am not a fan a this because of the talent of Martin. This reminds me of the 1992 and 2009 drafts. O’s chose Hammonds over Jeter (bad choice) and Hobgood over Wheeler (undershot for two overs lots Ohlman and Coffey).
  3. I believe pitching is out with the #2 pick due to the uncertainty of pitching overall.
  4. Just listened to Elias on the Sunday’s podcast on Oriole Magic. Going to be the best player available- the pick is too important not to do so. Looking for athletic player who could player multiple positions. Looks like It’s my guy Austin Martin. Here is the link. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/orioles-magic-the-podcast/id902521404?i=1000477079529
  5. Here are the scouting reports of two similar players. Both are 6’ 180. Both played infield and play in SEC. Great comparison. Player A Player B hit 60 65 power 50 50 Run 50 55 arm 55 50 Field 50 55 overall 55 60 . player A Alex Bregman player B Austin Martin
  6. Correct. He and clement had cup of coffees.
  7. Here is a list of the top 5 selections for college bats for the last 17 years. Everyone made it to the majors with 13 having good to great careers. The O’s should draft a college bat either Torkelson or Martin. 2000 none 2001 Teixeira 2002 none 2003 Weeks 2004 none 2005 Gordon, Clement, Zimmerman, Braun 2006. Longoria 2007 Wieters 2008 Alvarez, Posey 2009 Ackley, Sanchez 2010 none 2011 none 2012 Zunino 2013 Bryant 2014 schwarber 2015 Swanson, Bregman 2016 Senzel, Ray 2017 none
  8. My bad, it was Jeff clement. Both he and Sanchez did have a cup of coffee in the bigs.
  9. Data 2000 none 2001 Teixeira 2002 none 2003 Weeks 2004 none 2005 Gordon, Clement, Zimmerman, Braun 2006. Longoria 2007 Wieters 2008 Alvarez, Posey 2009 Ackley, Sanchez 2010 none 2011 none 2012 Zunino 2013 Bryant 2014 schwarber 2015 Swanson, Bregman 2016 Senzel, Ray 2017 none
  10. From 2000 - 2016, there have been 17 college bats taken in the first 5 selections. Only 2 of them did not play in the majors, Matt Clement and Tony Sanchez. So 15 out of 17 made it= 88%. Of the 15, 13 have been quality players sands Ackley and Zunino. So with a 13/17 = 76%, the hit rate is far above any other type of selection ( hs- p,h or col- p). With this empirical data, imho the O’s should select either Torkelson or Martin who both have a 60 hit rating.
  11. Going back to the 2000 draft moving forward, the success rate of a college positional player far exceeds the success of a college pitchers looking at only the top 5 picks. In the years 2000-2016, there were 14 position players that had a high impact in the mlb while only 4 on the pitching side ( gray, cole, price, and verlander) and Gray is still even debatable. For the O’s in 2020, I would concentrate on A Martin, N Gonzalez, and Torkelson in that order.
  12. How in the world will a two day reboot accomplish any positive results? He was suppose to change over his swing this past off-season. I would just put him on the end of the bench. He does not deserve any further leash. He should do the honorable thing and retire. He has literally robbed the Orioles of 69 mil to date.
  13. Truly Is Davis the worst player over the last 170 games in the history of mlb? I would bench him and and tell him he would never to see his name in a starting lineup again. See how he reacts.
  14. What do you think? Projected starting team we can actually rooted for to win in 2022 C - Adley Rutschman - 2019 # 1 pick in draft 1b - Ryan Mountcastle 2b - Adam Hall / Jean Carmona SS- Cayden Grenier / 2020 # 1 pick in draft (Casey Martin - Univ of Ark SS) 3B - Chance Sisco- converted C LF - Yusniel Diaz CF- Ryan McKenna / 2019 top int’l signing RF- Austin Hays DH- Jean Carlos Encarnacion Sp. DL Hall Zac Lowther Dean Kremer Keegan Akin Grayson Rodriquez Closer Hunter Harvey
  15. A easier way to predict when the minor leaguer will arrive is to determine their service time dates to avoid super two status and get the 7th year. Sisco will be down the longest / July- Aug? Hays 30 days + the normal ST and 7th year allotment.
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