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  1. Yeah, I agree - and am pretty dumbfounded by most of the posts in this thread. Frazier's been a quality player when he's been able to stay healthy. I would be very surprised if he signed somewhere for much money at all, given his dizziness issues. Exactly the type of low-risk, high-reward player the Orioles should be after.
  2. Completely agree. There's a big difference between signing a 20-year-old shortstop and a 23-year-old catcher to a big extension. J.T. Realmuto got a 5/$115.5m contract to start his age-30 season. While the hopes for Adley's career might be higher, Realmuto's contract isn't exactly earth-shattering for one of the best players at his position.
  3. The Baltimore Metro Area has 2,844,510 people and the St. Louis Metro Area has 2,820,253. Both have similar TV markets. Both share their market with only one other professional team from the big four sports. Both are squeezed by other franchises - the O's have the Nats and Phillies; the Cardinals have the Cubs and Royals. In 2017, the last time the Orioles tried to compete, the Cardinals had a payroll of $152m and the Orioles had a payroll of $163m. Outside of baseball, they're also both cities that have struggled in the 21st Century in many of the same ways. The difference between the Ca
  4. St. Louis and Baltimore are similar cities - and I think the Cardinals are probably the aspirational example to where we could see the Orioles go. An organization that relies on its farm system for the most part, but has the payroll capacity to retain its Molinas and Wainwrights, and afford an outside-sourced star or two. Which would be amazing, the Cardinals have two World Series Championships and only one losing season since 2000. Pretty impressive.
  5. Great point. Tampa is reported to have offered Wander Franco a contract that exceeds Ronald Acuña's. They just are super efficient with their money and avoid big risk.
  6. 2022 will be Elias' fourth season. He inherited the 1st overall pick in a draft with a slam dunk prospect and a farm system that was much better than advertised, including the current top pitching prospect in baseball. He's also had the benefit of an owner who has blessed three seasons of tanking baseball to tryout every possible diamond in the rough. So I agree, we definitely should see improvement next year. I'm not worried about W-L total, so much as seeing better performance on the field.
  7. I'm sure the payroll will go higher eventually. But, not because they put some money in a vault from 2019-2022. Not really sure how that practice would be considered a sustainable way to build a team anyway.
  8. I've seen you write this a few times, and I disagree with you each time. I don't think it's realistic to expect that money "not spent" this year is being "saved" for tomorrow. The team's cash flow and resources are more complicated than that. The team is bad, so revenue and profit is down. Beside that, we've seen so many peculiar moves from this organization. Earlier in the year, the O's were trying to get Mancini and Santander to take deferrals on their arbitration salaries. They gutted their broadcast teams. There were reports about MASN and its issues earlier in the year. For anything
  9. Outside of Rutschman, I don't really think there's a slam dunk player in the minors we would have to worry about being blocked. Teams need many pitchers, there's three outfield positions, and the infield talent can play around the diamond. They can always be traded too.
  10. The 40-man roster is in much better shape, I agree. But, I don't think any of us would lose any sleep if the Dillon Tates and DJ Stewarts of the roster were lost to make room for a player who can truly make a difference. They need to start trying to compete sometime.
  11. The Reds are probably looking for something similar to what the Twins got for Berrios - Austin Martin and Simeon Woods-Richardson. They were the #16 and #68 prospects in baseball per MLB.com at the time. For the O's - that probably means DL Hall and Colton Cowser, or something similar to that. Probably not a deal that makes sense for the O's at the moment.
  12. Signing Miguel Gonzalez on a minor-league deal, signing Chen to a 3/$11.3M contract, and trading a proven starter in Guthrie for Hammel is all pretty low-profile stuff. I really wouldn't consider that "flipping the switch," like splurging for a big free agent. Those are moves I'd expect any GM to make in any offseason - and ones I hope we see from Elias soon. There just isn't enough pitching depth in the minors to put together a competitive team. It's going to need to come from elsewhere.
  13. I think the O's have drafted reasonably well the past decade. Sure, they've had some stinkers - but every team does. With the previous regime - GrayRod, DL Hall, Mountcastle, Gausman, Bundy, Machado, Means, Mullins, Hays, Mancini, Eduardo Rodriguez is a pretty solid haul.
  14. Roch reported the O's had to include a fourth year in the deal, due to strong interest from other AL East teams. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2014/02/orioles-to-sign-ubaldo-jimenez.html
  15. I also don't think that a 31 year old 1B/DH who is pretty limited defensively is going to cost that much. He's worth more to the Orioles than anyone else.
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