Well they can’t contend this year but the Os could contend in 2022 if a lot of things go right and they spend money this year.
What if they bring up Adley this year, he plays enough and is dominant enough to win ROY and the team plays better and ends up with 70 wins? They could definitely take a big leap in 2022.
The Padres, on paper, were better but their pitching staff in 2019 wasn’t good enough to contend. They brought up Tatis because they felt he was best SS in the organization and that he had earned it.
In other words, the Machado return had more value then than it does now, because Diaz hasn't really panned out. He was more valuable then. So, I would take a package that had the same value as the trade had in 2018. I would not take a package that includes 2021 Diaz and 2021 Kremer as headliners. My point is extremely clear.
Reality check: You said you would trade Mullins for something close to what the O's got in the Manny trade. I said I would not. You said you would take what the O's hope they got at the time of the trade.
That sounds like you valuing hope of what the O's got over the reality of what the O's got.
Its as simple as that.
Maybe. But they could have thought (correctly if so as it turned out) that they would be truly competitive in 2020 and if everything fell right they could be in the conversation in 2019 (incorrectly as it turned out). If so, it follows that getting Tatis a full season in the Majors was the best thing for the team's competitive future, especially having just signed Machado to a $300 million deal. They wanted to give themselves the best chance to succeed in 2019, even if success wasn't highly likely.
And even though they didn't have a particularly good season, they still sold an additional 350,000 tickets in 2019 compared to 2018 and were a relevant Major League franchise for the first time since 1998.