I’d let Severino walk and draft PJ Higgins from the Cubs. Plus arm, solid defensive catcher, developing bat, flexibility to play a couple other positions including 3B.
I think not offering these guys arbitration will be very unpopular to the average fan and viewed as cheap.
who cares about Sanchez who is a utility player at best due to his bat. I’d like to see Alberto return but I’d be okay with Valaika as the everyday starter at. 2B.
The non tender date is December 2nd. 8 days away. It may provide insight into what the O's infield will look like is 2021.
The O's have 7 salary arbitration eligible players. Mancini, Sanchez, Alberto, Santander, Severino, Valaika and Armstrong.
Safe: Mancini and Santander will be offered arbitration. Elias does not have to negotiate their contracts before Dec 2nd.
Worth the money: Armstrong has projections between 700k and 1m. He is probably worth the money so Elias probably offers him arbitration which will have little impact of the payroll.
Elias needs to make decisions on whether to sign these players or non tender them by December 2nd:
Sanchez: Cots Contracts projects him at 4M. That is probably too rich for the O's. His Gold Glove would be a defensive upgrade at 2B and a backup at SS. He can also play 3B. His projected production is in the 660 OPS range. So it would be a defense over offense signing. Sanchez made 4.6 in 2019 but was non tendered to avoid arbitration by the White Sox prior to the 2020 season. With Iglesias a 3.5m, Elias probably wants a salary below that for Sanchez. Its probably sign by Dec 2nd or be non tendered is my guess. Iglesias and Sanchez could be quite a keystone pair if he signs.
Alberto: Projects to be close to a 400 OBP and a 900 OS vs lefties in a platoon. He has been in the low 600s OPS vs righties. His defense is average at 2B and 3B. MLBTR projects him somewhere between 2.3m and 4.1m. Elias will not want to go to arbitration with him. He will have to agree to something close to the low end of this range to stay. My guess is it has to happen by Dec 2nd or he will be non tendered.
Severino: The O's would probably like to keep him until Rutschman is ready. MLBTR projects his salary to be between 1.4m and 2.3m. The O's would probably be fine with something on the lower end of that range. Wynns has been kept on the 40 man roster in case they can not agree. My guess is he has to sign before December 2nd or be non tendered.
Valaika: Raised his value last year with a 791 OPS. The improvement is probably because he played almost everyday. That was at multiple positions. He probably will not be needed in the outfield or at 1B this coming season. His best position is 2B but he can play SS or 3B. MLBTR projects him for a salary between 1.1m to 1.9m. O's would probably like to see if he can duplicate his OPS in 2021 and would be fine with something on the lower end of that range. He probably has to be signed by Dec 2nd.
Depending on how this works out and what Elias sees on the waiver wire will determine next seasons infield. Ruiz will also come to compete for a spot in ST if he is able to stay on the roster throughout he off season.
JMO..... What do you think?
So, the other Rule Five thread was getting cumbersome and obsolete, so I started a new thread. Feel free to move it if deemed proper.
I think we’re looking for an infielder rather than a pitcher because we have so many in house pitchers who need a chance and are-probably-ready for a chance that it makes better sense to focus on them than to bring in an outsider, even one with upside, who will take a roster spot. Also, middle relievers Are plentiful, and Just like we got a bunch of warm bodies last year, and a few stuck, we can do the same this time without the R5 restrictions.
With that in mind: Brewers Lewis Erceg has good defense, a strong arm, a past as a pitcher and is big and solid. One wonders if he doesn’t fix hit hitting problems, if he might return to pitching?
Blue Jays Kevin Smith: good defender, not much bat yet, but smart.
Nobody else really stuck out for me, but I was focusing on SS and 3B. Wish Luke were here...grrr
Who do you like and why?
And do you think we’re going to even bother? Waiver pickups are as cheap and don’t have the R5 restrictions. Maybe we’ll pass? I think we will participate, but...
I will apologize in advance for the opinion I'm about to voice but CD's MLB career is over and has been for about 5 years and he is here now because they (bros Angelos) hope to save some money in 2021 if games are cancelled. CD's latest line about his experience in TX is pure BS. he came here and continued to fail, spending countless hours in the weight room and batting cage, practicing the same thing that failed in TX. Then in 2011 or 2012 or so our then hitting coach got thru to him and they went back to basics, literally hitting off a tee to get him to stay closed and go the other way. It took awhile but 2013 was the result, coach left in 2014 for personal reasons and CD reverted in 2015. The rest is history. CD IMO is lost in his denial and his excuses are weak. I have reconstructed the timeline before here years ago but I'm too tired to even go look for it now. I'm doing this from memory and I could be off on the details but he did change before and then reverted and has stubbornly refused to change again. Keep him until the 2021schedule length is determined, if they save money fine, if not cut him or play a man short in 2021. He needs to go sooner than later.