For me, it's pretty straightforward when it comes to the Marlins in particular. We get Bleday, we should trade Santander. Not sure if Bleday is a possibility, but I think you stand pat if he's not part of the deal. Santander should have more value at the trade deadline as long as he's healthy. There will be teams that need OF bats at the deadline.
We should have by 2023 if things go well some combination of
1)Adley
2)Mountcastle
3)Kjerstad
4)Hays
5) Diaz
6)Hall
7)GRod
Hopefully one or 2 infielders will be ready by then. That may be a spot where they need to spend.
Means would be an Arb-2 player and Hays Arb-1. All I am saying is we should be in a position to afford to pay Santander arb money in 2023. Whether he will be worth it or the team is ready to contend are the key.
Because I won't want to pay him arbitration prices.
I'd rather pay the kid they took second overall league minimum.
I'm in favor of identifying and locking up key pieces longterm early.
I think we are already past that point with Santander.
If the Orioles are a contender and Santander is playing well why would you not want to keep him? I know the economics of the sport are a mess right now. That said if by 2023 you can contend and have to fill a hole that was vacated by Santander being gone then you need to fill that void somehow. If we are in a world where contending teams don’t want to pay productive players arb money then the sport is in a really bad place. The position players on this roster will be one of the cheapest in the sport the next 3-5 years. I hope they spend on at least one legit SP but who knows about that.
The Brewers dealt for Schoop for a reason. He played terrible for them. They moved on. All I am saying is I am dealing from a position where unless I get what I what I don’t have to deal him.
At the end of the day the argument you made makes a ton of sense. I am just saying if I’m dealing him it’s not for lottery picks. I’m not looking for a Schoop type return here.
That might be true at the time, but we don't know the roster composition and whether that's true. Again, if behind Santander you have a black hole in RF, lack of team power, lack of LH hitter, etc., you'd have given away the team's biggest need.