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Analyzing the 2017 Hitters' Market

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So what makes the most sense?

IN – Baltimore, Cleveland, Colorado, Oakland, Texas, Toronto

FENCE – Saint Louis, San Francisco, Seattle

OUT (?) - Los Angeles (AL), San Diego

 

Cleveland is in serious discussion with Napoli  on a one year deal.  Let's say he signs there.

Bautista makes little sense anywhere but Toronto.  No one wants to give up a #1 draft choice for a 36 year old in decline.   The Jays need an outfielder and I think they work out a deal.

Texas keeps flirting withEncarnation.  Let's say he goes there.

So who is left for Trumbo's market?

No Oakland (too cheap), SF ( they have Belt) San Diego (Not where they are headed)  

So now we are down to Baltimore, Colorado, Saint Louis and the Angels.  

With the O's bidding 4/52, I like their chances of landing Trumbo.

 

 

Edited by wildcard

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30 minutes ago, wildcard said:

So what makes the most sense?

IN – Baltimore, Cleveland, Colorado, Oakland, Texas, Toronto

FENCE – Saint Louis, San Francisco, Seattle

OUT (?) - Los Angeles (AL), San Diego

 

Cleveland is in serious discussion with Napoli  on a one year deal.  Let's say he signs there.

Bautista makes little sense anywhere but Toronto.  No one wants to give up a #1 draft choice for a 36 year old in decline.   The Jays need an outfielder and I think they work out a deal.

Texas keeps flirting withEncarnation.  Let's say he goes there.

So who is left for Trumbo's market?

No Oakland (too cheap), SF ( they have Belt) San Diego (Not where they are headed)  

So now we are down to Baltimore, Colorado, Saint Louis and the Angels.  

With the O's bidding 4/52, I like their chances of landing Trumbo.

 

 

I hope this is wrong. In that situation, I would hope they get Trumbo for far less. I don't want a 4 year deal at that rate for a guy who is likely to be worth about 1 win a season.

If he does end up being the guy without a seat in this game of musical chairs, he better be cheap. No more bidding against ourselves.

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31 minutes ago, Say O! said:

Is Texas perhaps saving room for Gallo to be their DH-type?

If Gallo is the Rangers DH who is their first baseman?

 

 

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10 minutes ago, wildcard said:

If Gallo is the Rangers DH who is their first baseman?

 

 

Profar, maybe.

They have Profar, Gallo, Choo, Gomez, and Mazaro for OF/1B/DH.

I think Trumbo or Encarnacion would be a good fit if they don't mind having one of the other five come off the bench.  If I ran the Rangers, I would not do it.  I'd maybe go after Carter or Alvarez.

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On 12/16/2016 at 7:46 AM, Aristotelian said:

Good post. I think you also have a bunch of similar players competing against each other for a smaller number of spots. Trumbo, Bautista, Encarnacion, Pedro, Moss, Napoli...Encarnacion is coming off the best year of the group, but if you can get Pedro for 1/$5, do you really want to commit $50M to Encarnacion?

Yes, but who do you want hitting in the middle of your lineup in the playoffs? Edwin is far better.

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28 minutes ago, pastorfan said:

Yes, but who do you want hitting in the middle of your lineup in the playoffs? Edwin is far better.

I'm much more interested in who's playing RF than who's the DH.

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3 hours ago, pastorfan said:

Yes, but who do you want hitting in the middle of your lineup in the playoffs? Edwin is far better.

Depends which year. And whether he is in Toronto. 

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22 minutes ago, Bahama O's Fan said:

EE off the board to Cleveland and Revere off to Angels. What does that do to the market?

Makes Trumbo's market a bit bigger and gets rid of some of the fat in the OF market 

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8 hours ago, MDtransplant757 said:

Makes Trumbo's market a bit bigger and gets rid of some of the fat in the OF market 

So not helpful to us? If the market is larger, there is more competition for an OF'er.

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Trumbo is the highest ranking player left on the free agent market according to MLBTR.  The O's have bid 4 years, though now pulled back, which set Trump's market.  Several teams do not want to go that many years.

The Rangers and Orioles appear to be the most likely teams for Trumbo.  The Rangers probably have their pick of Napoli or Trumbo.  The Rangers offered at least 3 years for Encarnacion.    That puts them in the mix for Trumbo if they want him.

The O's rarely outbid other team for players.   That gives the Rangers the upper hand.   There have been reports that the Rangers have been in serious discussions with Napoli.   I have not seen reports that the Rangers are in on Trumbo.   However, it has come time for them to make an offer if they are interested.

The Rockies have been mentioned as a landing place for Trumbo but they have to make a trade of an outfielder to make room for Trumbo.    That seems problematic as Trumbo  is now the top player left to find a home.

Oakland was in on Encarnacion but they only wants to go two years.  That probably will not work with Trumbo.

 

 

 

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