It would certainly help. Unless you think that roughly one month's worth of results is overwhelmingly more meaningful than all of our body knowledge about the Orioles and the rest of the league.
The 2019 Orioles had a 12-12 July and a stretch where they went 7-3 in 10 games. They went 18-37 in August and September.
I just reviewed the 2005 oriole season. After 72 games they were 42-30. After that, they started faltering and they only won 32 more games the whole season.
However, that illustrates that if a team starts hot, and every player is able to play to his maximum ability for a time, it is possible. After all, the best team ever playing the worst team ever only wins one game at a time, and all that extra talent and ability is wasted. We don’t have to be the best,We just have to cover our flaws for 60 games.
I'm hopeful that this is a short enough sprint into a really wide playoff net that the marathon of a normal baseball season won't be able to pick out the flukes quickly enough. After that point, you just need to be hot at the right time.
He hasn’t made that many trades, but remember, his goal is to make the future team better. His goal might very well be to deliberately make the current team worse because the third draft pick is more valuable than the 15th, so if he can trade a good reliever now for a guy who might be good in 5 years, he will do it.