Jump to content
DirtyBird

Keegan Akin 2018

Recommended Posts

On 8/18/2018 at 12:01 AM, Frobby said:

Yes, that’s wrong.      September call-up time counts.   

I do think the quality of play is better in AAA.    Lots of older players who’ve been in the majors and are trying to get back, whereas AA has players who may be as talented but are less experienced.   

What I'm trying to get at is if it costs the O's a year of their 6 years of control, and I don't believe it necessarily does.  Am I wrong in saying that?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, Ruzious said:

What I'm trying to get at is if it costs the O's a year of their 6 years of control, and I don't believe it necessarily does.  Am I wrong in saying that?

Let’s say a player gets called up Sept. 1 and the season ends on Sept. 30 (as it does this year).   At the end of the season, he will have accrued 30 days of service time, not a full year.    So, you could keep that player on the major league roster for the next six full seasons.

However, the tricky part comes next year.    The player needs 172 days of service to get credit for a full year; there are about 186 days in a season.     So, let’s say you had a player without any prior service time at all.   You could wait 15 days into the season, call him up, and he still wouldn’t reach 172 days of service by the end of the year.   With hardly any penalty at all, you could keep the guy in the organization for an extra year.    But if you’d called the guy up the previous Sept. 1, you’d now need to keep him in the minors for 45 days the following year to keep him from reaching a full year by the end of the season, because of the 30 days of credit he already has.     

Hope that makes sense.    

  • Upvote 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
37 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

I wouldn't call super 2 status hardly any penalty at all.  

I just mean in terms of the loss of playing time in the player’s rookie year.    Giving up 15 days of the player’s season to gain an extra year of control is hardly any penalty at all.    Especially if you’re not expecting to contend in that player’s rookie season.   

As to Akin in particular, I’d prefer to not call him up this September, start him at Norfolk next year and probably not call him up until June at the earliest to avoid the super-2 issue.   And later if he’s not pitching well at Norfolk.   

  • Upvote 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, Legend_Of_Joey said:

Akin is the Eastern League "Pitcher of the Week."

I think he has an excellent chance to be EL pitcher of the year, in fact, I’d say he’s the clear front runner.   Leads the league in wins and strikeouts and has the lowest ERA of any pitcher who’s thrown at least 95 innings (Akin has thrown 130, third in the league and only one inning behind the leader).     I’d frankly be disappointed if he didn’t win the award.

  • Upvote 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

By the way, another reason not to call up Akin this September: he does not need to be put on the 40-man roster until next offseason.    No reason to commit to burning an option next year unless you have to.   No reason to take up a spot on the 40-man unnecessarily.    Plus, he’ll probably end the season having thrown 145-150 innings this year at Bowie, after only throwing 100 last year at Frederick.    No reason to put extra mileage on that arm this September.   

  • Upvote 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I would be more aggressive promoting a player who will be 24 when next season starts and has dominated a league that generally favors batters, and I prefer to reward success.  But I see the points Frobby made - they're valid - but I weigh the other factors higher in this case.  For a younger guy, I might take Frobby's pov.     

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, Ruzious said:

I would be more aggressive promoting a player who will be 24 when next season starts and has dominated a league that generally favors batters, and I prefer to reward success.  But I see the points Frobby made - they're valid - but I weigh the other factors higher in this case.  For a younger guy, I might take Frobby's pov.     

For the record, I would have favored promoting Akin to Norfolk in mid-July.    But they didn’t, and by now  there’s no real point.    As to the majors, I’d rather wait for all the reasons I gave.   

  • Upvote 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Akin has really put in an outstanding season at Bowie. My only concern is the walks. Would love to see that number closer to 3.00 than 4.00.He skipped Delmarva. I am okay with him spending some time at Norfolk next year, maybe even the whole year if need be. Give him every chance to develop and keep working on command and pitches. Hard not to be excited about this kid. I think he has flown under the radar somewhat in the shadow of Bundy/Gausman/Harvey.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, Aristotelian said:

Akin has really put in an outstanding season at Bowie. My only concern is the walks. Would love to see that number closer to 3.00 than 4.00.He skipped Delmarva. I am okay with him spending some time at Norfolk next year, maybe even the whole year if need be. Give him every chance to develop and keep working on command and pitches. Hard not to be excited about this kid. I think he has flown under the radar somewhat in the shadow of Bundy/Gausman/Harvey.

Let’s hope he’s the guy who didn’t get much hype but actually performs when he gets to the big leagues.   That would be a refreshing change!    I agree he shouldn’t be rushed.     Give him 10 starts at Norfolk, and if he’s doing well we can consider a promotion.  

  • Upvote 1
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

At my first Baysox game this year.  Akin gave up 4 runs in 3 innings and we’re getting no hit.  I’m not allowed to have good things.  😞

  • Upvote 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, NCRaven said:

At my first Baysox game this year.  Akin gave up 4 runs in 3 innings and we’re getting no hit.  I’m not allowed to have good things.  😞

😥

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, NCRaven said:

At my first Baysox game this year.  Akin gave up 4 runs in 3 innings and we’re getting no hit.  I’m not allowed to have good things.  😞

Same here.  Been quite a show here.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Who's Online   0 Members, 0 Anonymous, 132 Guests (See full list)

    There are no registered users currently online

Orioles Information


Orioles News and Information

Daily Organizational Boxscores
News

Tony's Takes

Orioles Roster Resource

Orioles Prospect Information

2018 End of Season Top 30 Prospects List

Prospect Scouting Reports

Statistics

2019 Orioles Stats

2019 Orioles Minor League Stats

Baseball Savant Stats






  • Posts

    • Talk about "lack of imagination..." -- I'm talking about the ZiPS figures, not Szymborski or the Orioles. Hardly seems worth running the projections over five years if there's so little variation from year to year for each of those players. Maybe I'm just spoiled by wildly fluctuating careers in baseball sim games... or reality itself.
    • Wow, I'm shocked to see we're technically still in it. I basically called it done a couple of losses ago. But how could I forget, it ain't over till it's over! 6 games left, so basically the O's have been in contention for 90 percent of the season. Who'd a thunk?
    • The original intention is to stock up on international players which he’s also done. 
    • Well, we're up against it now.   Toronto beat the Yankees tonight.  There's now only one way the O's can make the playoffs: 1) Sweep the Red Sox 2) Toronto loses three to the Yankees the next three days 3) Seattle loses at least 2 games ([email protected], 4 vs Oak)*     *If Seattle goes 5-1 or better, we would still be OK if Houston loses at least 5 of their last 6 (2vsSea, 4 vs Tex) 4) Angels lose at least 1 more game (2 vs SD, 3 @Dodgers)
    • o   (vs. DEVIL RAYS, 9/21)   deGrom had 14 Strikeouts over 7 Inning Pitched tonight ...... but he was charged with a loss, as his Mets fell by a score of 2-1.   https://www.espn.com/mlb/boxscore?gameId=401226481   For the 2020 season overall, deGrom has a 2.14 ERA and an 0.921 WHIP.   o
    • “Keegan Akin started in the bullpen this year with the Baltimore Orioles but has since moved to the rotation. So far it has been paying off for the Orioles as the rookie has been nothing short of impressive. In four starts Akin has produced a 2.35 ERA, 1.62 FIP, 36.4 K%, and 15.5 SwStr%. What is even more impressive is who he put those numbers up against. In those four starts he has faced the Yankees twice, the Braves, and the Blue Jays. All very formidable offenses.  “The only issue with Akin besides the small sample size is that he lives in the zone a little too much. He has a low O-Swing% of 26.3% which means hitters aren’t chasing him outside of the zone. With command issues stemming from the minors he also might be hesitant to live outside the zone and risk walking too many hitters. This is definitely something we have to monitor.   “Akin’s main strength is his fastball which has above average movement in both vertical and horizontal movement. While it doesn’t have much velocity the movement of the pitch makes up for it. He also places it well trying to place it high in the zone as often as possible. That fastball is paired with a changeup that straight up fools hitters. It comes in 10 mph slower than his fastball with late vertical drop at the bottom of the zone. His changeup currently holds an impressive 20.3 SwStr%. “As for 2021 Akin will be an interesting pitcher to evaluate. A very small sample size alone puts a lot of this into question. But with what looks like a solid fastball/changeup combination he will be worth a shot towards the end of drafts.” https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/analyzing-rookie-pitchers-part-ii/
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...