Mike shouldn’t sign another pitcher. We have plenty of guys who should be getting big league reps. I listed five, but Lowther and Zimmerman need reps, plus Lopez(for some reason) and I’m sure I’m omitting a couple strong possibilities. Even the guys who start at Norfolk are knocking hard on the door.
This week Petriello on the Statcast podcast did something similar. He crowdsourced MLBTR as well as FG, and on the first 15 signees compiled that clubs spent $250M total and 8.2 AAV whereas predictors on that group had guessed $190M total and 7.1 AAV.
This included Hendriks, early Royals, lower guys like Wacha/Zunino. So slow market, but players getting "Wins".
I think that in the first 10-20% of signings though, you get that basket where clubs know things and assign values your average FG/MLBTR guesser doesn't, so I don't think that will be predictive for the last ~75% of the Top 60 guys.
In that segment, they kind of talked how Odorizzi probably sees Smyly's contract as unfair given their respective accomplishments. Smyly got hopped on for low 8-figures, perhaps because his fastball was good for a couple months.