Jump to content
terpoh

2019 Top 100 Prospects

Recommended Posts

Who do you all think will be on the top 100 lists from our system? 

Guys that SHOULD be on most lists:

Diaz, Mountcastle, DL Hall

Guys that COULD be on some lists:

Akin, Lowther, Rodriguez, Hays, Kremer

 

Regardless of the number of guys on these lists, our system has improved dramatically. I really think that if Akin or Kremer we’re in the Braves system that they’d be getting talked about a lot more. Hopefully Hays can continue with some positive momentum in the AFL. The past month or so ive been as excited or more to check MILB box scores as I am to follow the Orioles.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Diaz hasn’t exactly lit the world on fire in Bowie.  Mountcastle’s also been fading badly, .656 OPS in August and threatening to fall below .800 before the season end. So, I don’t think it’s a foregone conclusion that either one will be a consensus top 100 guy.   Hall should be IMO, but you never know if guys in low A will show up on these lists.    

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Frobby said:

Diaz hasn’t exactly lit the world on fire in Bowie.  Mountcastle’s also been fading badly, .656 OPS in August and threatening to fall below .800 before the season end. So, I don’t think it’s a foregone conclusion that either one will be a consensus top 100 guy.   Hall should be IMO, but you never know if guys in low A will show up on these lists.    

His K/BB ratio has taken a hit since joining the Orioles.  Coincidence?

  • Upvote 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

His K/BB ratio has taken a hit since joining the Orioles.  Coincidence?

If he falls out of the top 100 lists based on his Bowie performance something needs to be seriously evaluated as to the organization's hitting philosophy/teachings.  It's bad enough that around the league it is said that our former pitchers need to be "de-Orioled".

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

People are overplaying Diaz's struggles: In his past thirty games he has walked 15 times with 21 strikeouts, has hit .280 with .369 OBP and a Slg of.486. That is an ops of .855

He was slow out of the gate but has returned to his normal self. He has also seen a power surge in Bowie, cutting his AB/Hr in half. Has played solid defense and had to adapt to a new environment.

This has looked like a great trade thus far.

Zach Pop, since giving up 3 ER in his first outing in Bowie has only given up 3 more runs in 19.1 innings.

Kremer has a sub 3 era, while striking out more than a batter per inning.

Bannon has really turned it on as of late. Has played great defense. Struggled early. Took some time for him to get his feet under him.

I think Mountcastle, Hays, Hall, Diaz will be top 100. Akin on the edge of reaching it, Adam Hall might get a mention.

  • Upvote 1
  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
23 minutes ago, Thato'sfan said:

People are overplaying Diaz's struggles: In his past thirty games he has walked 15 times with 21 strikeouts, has hit .280 with .369 OBP and a Slg of.486. That is an ops of .855

He was slow out of the gate but has returned to his normal self. He has also seen a power surge in Bowie, cutting his AB/Hr in half. Has played solid defense and had to adapt to a new environment.

This has looked like a great trade thus far.

Zach Pop, since giving up 3 ER in his first outing in Bowie has only given up 3 more runs in 19.1 innings.

Kremer has a sub 3 era, while striking out more than a batter per inning.

Bannon has really turned it on as of late. Has played great defense. Struggled early. Took some time for him to get his feet under him.

I think Mountcastle, Hays, Hall, Diaz will be top 100. Akin on the edge of reaching it, Adam Hall might get a mention.

I agree on Diaz he has been solid in the last month or so.  I expect him to come in around 70.  Mountcastle has been solid and should be around 80.  Hall will also fall around that area but should be higher on the list as he has out performed other guys from that draft but they were drafted higher so stay up above him a little longer.  Hays will be interesting it seems pretty clear the injuries hurt him early but he has turned it around since return and strong AFL may slide him below 100 to start next year.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Diaz doesn’t have any chance of being on most lists. As has been the case for over a year, Mountcastle should be the headliner for us, but if his defense is as bad and unrepairable as many here have said, he may not be on most lists either. 

Mountcastle, Hays, Hall, and Grayson are the top 4 assets on our farm today, Akin, Lowther, Kremer, Diaz and Ortiz are guys that will likely have more detractors than supporters when the summer concludes. Mullins is the guys turning the most heads, what a spark he’s been for the birds in an otherwise lifeless season.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
54 minutes ago, Cy Bundy said:

Diaz doesn’t have any chance of being on most lists. As has been the case for over a year, Mountcastle should be the headliner for us, but if his defense is as bad and unrepairable as many here have said, he may not be on most lists either. 

Mountcastle, Hays, Hall, and Grayson are the top 4 assets on our farm today, Akin, Lowther, Kremer, Diaz and Ortiz are guys that will likely have more detractors than supporters when the summer concludes. Mullins is the guys turning the most heads, what a spark he’s been for the birds in an otherwise lifeless season.

Diaz has been on most all the top 100 lists I have seen at mid season.  He had a slow start after the trade but as another poster pointed out he has been very solid the last month.  He will make most all the lists at the end as two weeks won’t drop him out of the lists that really sees these guys.

  • Upvote 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Let’s not forget that Diaz hit 2 home runs in the Futures game -  for many scouts or minors watchers that game will leave a far greater impression than his stats since he joined our system.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I don't think Akin jumps into the top 100 on many if any national lists.  I think he's still probably looked at as a mid to back end rotation guy. 

Mouncastle, Diaz, and Hall should be locks and I think you will see Hays on some lists too.  All in the 50-100 range.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 9/2/2018 at 8:52 AM, terpoh said:

Who do you all think will be on the top 100 lists from our system? 

Guys that SHOULD be on most lists:

Diaz, Mountcastle, DL Hall

Guys that COULD be on some lists:

Akin, Lowther, Rodriguez, Hays, Kremer

 

Regardless of the number of guys on these lists, our system has improved dramatically. I really think that if Akin or Kremer we’re in the Braves system that they’d be getting talked about a lot more. Hopefully Hays can continue with some positive momentum in the AFL. The past month or so ive been as excited or more to check MILB box scores as I am to follow the Orioles.

I think you need to take a closer look at the Braves pitchers that were or are in the top 100 - and look at their ages.  

  • Upvote 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


Orioles Information


Orioles News and Information

Daily Organizational Boxscores

News

Tony's Takes

Orioles Roster Resource

Orioles Prospect Information

2018 End of Season Top 30 Prospects List

Prospect Scouting Reports

Statistics

2019 Orioles Stats

2019 Orioles Minor League Stats

Baseball Savant Stats







  • Posts

    • The part of this no one (at least that I've seen) talks about is what is the impact of sign stealing?  Of course we have no real data whatsoever.  No double-blind studies of how Jose Altuve would hit with and without knowing what's coming.  We have no idea how often he got the signs.  We have some apples-to-pears data from home/road games, but home/road splits are going to be different anyway.  And the data is mixed; Altuve had a big home split last year, but an equally big away split in 2018. It's like PEDs.  No really good data on anything, so the assumption is that it takes an average dude and turns him into an MVP.  But the reality is almost certainly much messier, much less clear cut.  Some people did it all the time, some rarely, some never.  The benefits were almost certainly all over the place from negative impacts from side effects to massive performance gains.  But we're just guessing.  Same thing with sign stealing.  Some will assume that this is worth 25 wins to the Astros, but we have no idea if it's even a significant thing.  For all we know it's like corking your bat; the benefits of that over legal bats are usually zero or worse.  Sign stealing has been so prevalent over the years we've all heard the stories of batters who didn't want to know.  It messes with their approach and their heads if they're tipped off to what's probably coming. In the end we can probably make the assumption that stealing signs helps the average batter somewhat.  But we have no idea of the actual impact.
    • I think “otherworldly” is a huge overstatement of what he’d need to be offensively to compensate for his defense.      Last year he was worth 0.1 rWAR, -0.2 fWAR, so basically replacement level.   He was 48th of 68 catchers who had at least 100 plate appearances in fWAR, so that places him solidly in the middle of second string catchers in overall value.    With a decent improvement in his offense, he’d be above average overall for a backup catcher.     Somewhere between .750-.775 OPS would take him off the cusp, IMO.   I don’t consider that “otherworldly.” By the way, I’m using WAR because it’s available, but I don’t completely trust it for catchers.    
    • Yes, but we have out performed them in the offseason getting rid of Villar and Bundy. 
    • This one slipped by me until Roch mentioned it today in his blog.   He was signed on Jan 10th. This looks like a Wojo signing to me.    Long time minor league starter,  who has had a cup of coffee in the majors. From the Dominican. Between AAA and the winter league his stats this past season are: 19-3,    2.01 ERA,  29 S,   188.1 IP,  171 H,   162 SO,  1.019 WHIP He played with Houston at AAA in 2016 going 12-1, 3.12 ERA in the PCL.   So Elias knows  him well. Valdez doesn't look like someone that is ticketed for the AAA rotation that already has 6 starters in it.   If he shows something in ST he could be in the O's rotation or long relief.  If he doesn't show enough in ST he is probably gone. https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=valdez001ces
    • The Super Bowl is going to be hard to pick. Need a few days.
    • Caleb signed a minor league contract with the Toronto Blue Jays.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...