I've always found it funny that people here think other teams would chomp at the bit for what we have. And to combat that, I usually try to figure out what I'd want the Orioles to give up to acquire that player if we were trying to trade for him.
For example, if the Reds had Nunez and we wanted him...what would you trade for him? What would you trade for Ruiz? Alberto?
I'm certainly not high on our pitching prospects, but I can't really even see trading someone like Lowther and a lower level minor leaguer and cash for someone like Nunez. And I like Nunez, he's been a fun player when he's hitting dongs and he's a good scrap heap pickup, but there's not a lot of value there.
Santander-Mahle, or Santander-India?
I doubt they have the financial flexibility to do much until they know the Bauer outcome. I imagine more than they'd want any of our hitters, they might like our cash reserves to take on a chunk of toasty Votto.
Davis for Votto, India and Mahle?
They did make a medium bet on Akiyama who to me today almost looked like a poor man's Cedric Mullins, and lack a real CF.
Simple over/under poll, closing Nov. 2. The O’s 2020 record of 25-35 projects out to 67.5 wins over 162 games. What’s your early take on whether they will be over or under that number next year?
On the positive side, the O’s have improved their winning percentage fairly significantly in each of the last two years. They’re a fairly young team that can get better with experience. If they’re lucky, one of their best hitters (Mancini) comes back. There are some prospects who can help the club next year, in addition to the guys who barely got their feet wet this year. And, their Pythagorean record (28-32) was better than their actual mark.
On the other hand, the O’s did not finish strong. 14-16 the first half, 11-19 the second. Not a good trend there. It’s not unusual for bad teams to wear down as the season progresses, and this year was so short that the decent start has outsized influence on the overall record. I also think the expanded roster size worked to the O’s advantage, as they were able to shorten the starts, rely more on relievers and shuttle pitchers off and on the roster. There will be less opportunity for that next year.
So, what’s your early take? Obviously there will be roster moves made in the next six months that will influence things, but I doubt we’ll see anything that dramatically changes the team.