Well, the Orioles got off to a terrible start in what is hopefully Elias' final tankathon season. They owned the 28th pick in the 2022 MLB draft upon leaving Boston. However, they've now rallied up to the number four pick, just two games behind Colorado. The Elijah Green sweepstakes are under way!
Of course I knew him but I never watched him. I thought those cartoons were stupid, even as an 8-year old. Tom and Jerry too. But the Warner bros gang were brilliant.
i was very fond of Mighty Mouse, too. The artwork was stunning.
I think a fan with a certain bit of refinement should understand that prospect rankings are not definitive statements on the health of a player development system. What the O's need to be able to do to win consistently at the ML level is find and develop players better than their peers. Taking Rutchsman doesn't actually resolve that issue. Whiffing on 1-2 doesn't resolve that issue. Neither does losing 100 games a year. That issue is resolved in improving the O's processes in finding and developing amateur talent. So if you want to criticize Elias or the rebuild, criticize that. The fact that the O's stink in 2021, or 2020, or 2023, was predestined several years before it happened.
You hit the O's biggest organizational failure on the head: The failure to develop quality pitching. I've said this before and I'll say it again: The reason so many highly ranked minor league arms fail here and go on to do better elsewhere in some cases is because pitching for the O's is the most difficult pitching environment in the big leagues, and I don't think it is close. Based on who and where you pitch, this is easily the worst place to pitch in the major leagues, other than maybe Colorado.
So if Elias doesn't solve that particular riddle, he is mostly likely to fail. I don't think he's infallible. It's very possible he does fail. But I'm not going to get up in arms about the O's being shit 2 and a half years into what I takes twice that time to favorably construct.
Those high rankings were almost solely the result of picking in the top 5 AND some good trading by MacPhail- who actually had a ML asset or two when he arrived unlike Elias.
It was not a testament to the Orioles ability to find and develop players though.
Before we go down this road, I think I should clearly state we don't seem to disagree. I said 3-5 years. You presented the Mariners as an example of doing it in 3 years. Even if I accept the premise that they did what you say, that fits into the window I provided.