I'm not going to be overly concerned (unless and until) the Astros are down 3 games to 0 ........ maybe I'll be concerned if it is 3 games to 1. Houston's pitching is that good, that even if they lose a game or 2 early in the series, they are strong enough to still be favored (and expected to) to win the next game and get right back into the series.
One reason why I like Best-of-7 series better than Best-of-5 series is that a team is less likely to win via a large dose of luck ........ not that the Yankees are/were necessarily lucky (they are VERY good, and they are the biggest threat to keeping the Astros out of another World Series appearance), but I do believe that the Astros are better, and hence I still believe that that it is more likely that they will wind up on top as American League champions when all is said and done. I would still put the odds at about 57% - 43% that the Astros will win this ALCS series. If the Yankees win tonight to go up 2 games to 0, I still won't be panicked, but I would then switch the odds of winning the series to them (probably something like 60% to 40% in favor of the Yankees.)
I mean, do we not know how stats work? This isn’t a predictive stat, it reflects what had happened to that point, which was highly influenced by Miami. I’m sure the stat would reflect very differently after these last three games.