I think people will start getting excited if the O's sweep the Marlins. The sixteen-team playoff and 60-game season are such wild cards.
In 2019, with the 16-team playoff format, the Rangers (78-84) would have made the playoffs. That win% (.481) translates to around 28 or 29 wins in a 60-game season.
So if the O's start the season 12-3? They may only need to go 16-29 to finish the season and snag an 8 seed.