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Rule 5 eligible players

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On 11/21/2019 at 8:49 AM, weams said:

 

Some interesting talent this year. To me, at first glance, I like Buddy Reed. Excellent CF out of SD Padres organization, 2016 2nd round pick out of University of Florida. Played with Richie Martin. Super athletic, strong arm and 70 grade runner. He’s a switch hitter, and he’s had some ups and downs, but I think he just need a little more time.

He grew up just outside Baltimore, and was supposedly an incredible hockey player, and a very talented soccer player. He went to an elite private school in Rhode Island for high school. He really could be an impact late bloomer as he did not play much baseball growing up. 
 

I watched him play a good bit here in Florida and I remember how impressed I was with his athleticism. I also remember moments where he was raw and inexperienced. He could be a steal, if our development minded staff can click with him. If nothing else, he would provide a great defensive CF to back up Hays while they work on his hitting.
 

https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/05/buddy-reed-interview-florida-mlb-draft.html

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37 minutes ago, Jammer7 said:

Some interesting talent this year. To me, at first glance, I like Buddy Reed. Excellent CF out of SD Padres organization, 2016 2nd round pick out of University of Florida. Played with Richie Martin. Super athletic, strong arm and 70 grade runner. He’s a switch hitter, and he’s had some ups and downs, but I think he just need a little more time.

He grew up just outside Baltimore, and was supposedly an incredible hockey player, and a very talented soccer player. He went to an elite private school in Rhode Island for high school. He really could be an impact late bloomer as he did not play much baseball growing up. 
 

I watched him play a good bit here in Florida and I remember how impressed I was with his athleticism. I also remember moments where he was raw and inexperienced. He could be a steal, if our development minded staff can click with him. If nothing else, he would provide a great defensive CF to back up Hays while they work on his hitting.
 

https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/05/buddy-reed-interview-florida-mlb-draft.html

Another article on Reed from May 2019. 

The first 33 games of 2019 have featured a paltry .205/.282/.410 slash as a 24-year-old in Double-A. An 84 wRC+ despite being slightly older than his average competition in the Texas League. Those numbers often describe a prospect afterthought, especially with most statistical categories beginning to normalize.

Yet, a look under the hood suggests Reed is on the verge of a breakout that could make him a hot commodity throughout the prospect community before the end of the regular season.

https://prospects365.com/2019/05/18/buddy-reed-and-buying-before-a-breakout/

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44 minutes ago, Jammer7 said:

Some interesting talent this year. To me, at first glance, I like Buddy Reed. Excellent CF out of SD Padres organization, 2016 2nd round pick out of University of Florida. Played with Richie Martin. Super athletic, strong arm and 70 grade runner. He’s a switch hitter, and he’s had some ups and downs, but I think he just need a little more time.

He grew up just outside Baltimore, and was supposedly an incredible hockey player, and a very talented soccer player. He went to an elite private school in Rhode Island for high school. He really could be an impact late bloomer as he did not play much baseball growing up. 
 

I watched him play a good bit here in Florida and I remember how impressed I was with his athleticism. I also remember moments where he was raw and inexperienced. He could be a steal, if our development minded staff can click with him. If nothing else, he would provide a great defensive CF to back up Hays while they work on his hitting.
 

https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2016/05/buddy-reed-interview-florida-mlb-draft.html

Very intrigued by his speed/defense, but it seems doubtful if he's ready to hit MLB pitching.  Struggled at the plate in AA.  Does have a little pop, but I think MLB pitchers would probably exploit his holes.  He'd be a great guy to have in the system, but I'm not sure if the O's can spend a 26-man spot on him all year.  We've already got some roster clutter, IMO.  I could see a contending team with a very solid 25-man roster that wouldn't have participated in the Rule 5 draft in previous years selecting him this year to take advantage of the 26-man roster and use him as a pinch-runner/late inning defensive replacement, then send him to AA or AAA in 2021 to work on his hitting.

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Just now, Number5 said:

Very intrigued by his speed/defense, but it seems doubtful if he's ready to hit MLB pitching.  Struggled at the plate in AA.  Does have a little pop, but I think MLB pitchers would probably exploit his holes.  He'd be a great guy to have in the system, but I'm not sure if the O's can spend a 26-man spot on him all year.  We've already got some roster clutter, IMO.  I could see a contending team with a very solid 25-man roster that wouldn't have participated in the Rule 5 draft in previous years selecting him this year to take advantage of the 26-man roster and use him as a pinch-runner/late inning defensive replacement, then send him to AA or AAA in 2021 to work on his hitting.

That’s fair, and I agree he would be overmatched for the most part. But there is a good amount of upside here. He is still raw, but he may just be on the verge of things. He may be a guy that at age 27 ends up a late bloomer like Aaron Hicks.

If you have not yet done so, read the article above shared by @7Mo. The Orioles are looking for a back up CF, and he could fill that void. As far as being able to hit enough, no one knows long term. Would you take the production of what Martin did last year, but from a guy who will not need to start much? For $100,000, I think I would do so on a rebuilding team. I’ll take him over Dwight Smith Jr. and Stevie Wilkerson, and probably over DJ Stewart for now. 

If Santander and Mancini are in the corners, with Hays roaming CF, he seems like a pretty good fit for a bench OF. There may be other players out there who are better picks. But at first glance, for me, Buddy really stands out. 

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3 hours ago, Enjoy Terror said:

I believe this will be the Rule 5 class of 2020, in case you're insane like me and thinking about that.

Michael Baumann (AA)  #7 prospect
Zac Lowther (AA) #8 prospect
Brenan Hanifee (A+) #15 prospect
Bruce Zimmermann (AAA) #20 prospect
Rylan Bannon (AAA) #21 prospect
Zach Pop (AA) #23 prospect
Leonardo Rodriguez (A-) #24 prospect

Mason McCoy (AA)
T.J. Nichting (AA)
Willy Yahn (AA)
Ben Breazeale (A+)
Zach Jarrett (A+)
Robbie Thorburn (A+)
J.C. Escarra (A+)
Tim Naughton (A+)
Reed Hayes (A+)
Cameron Bishop (A+)
Matt Hammonds (A)
Ryan Wilson (A)
J.C. Encarnacion (A)
Alexis Torres (A-)
Yelin Rodriguez (A-)
Juan de la Rosa (DSL1)

Add Alex Wells and Yusniel Diaz and you pretty much have everyone.

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2 hours ago, MurphDogg said:

Add Alex Wells and Yusniel Diaz and you pretty much have everyone.

Wells and Diaz shoulda been this year, no? They both had their fourth years already.

EDIT: sort of a dumb statement by me since they didn’t protect Diaz... but why?

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9 minutes ago, Enjoy Terror said:

Wells and Diaz shoulda been this year, no? They both had their fourth years already.

EDIT: sort of a dumb statement by me since they didn’t protect Diaz... but why?

As for Wells, he was signed at age 18, so he got a 5th year as well.

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11 minutes ago, Enjoy Terror said:

Wells and Diaz shoulda been this year, no? They both had their fourth years already.

EDIT: sort of a dumb statement by me since they didn’t protect Diaz... but why?

Roch mentioned it somewhere, but Diaz doesn't have to be protected until next year, same as Wells.

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RHP Zach Brown.   Unbelievable that Milwaukee didn't protect him...    Also like Nats pitcher Sterling Sharp...   With the roster now able to have 26, seems you could easily stash in the pen if Starting doesn't pan out...

 

 

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On 11/21/2019 at 8:49 AM, weams said:

 

Luke, what can you tell us about Brandon Bailey?   

None of the Rule 5 eligible pitchers I have seen are ready to be starters in the majors.   That is not surprising.  But Zack Brown looks like he could be a multi inning reliever.    I am interested  in what pitches Brandon Bailey throws and how they are rated.

Thank in advance

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4 hours ago, doccat said:

RHP Zach Brown.   Unbelievable that Milwaukee didn't protect him...    Also like Nats pitcher Sterling Sharp...   With the roster now able to have 26, seems you could easily stash in the pen if Starting doesn't pan out...

 

 

I just watched some Brown from this year, it’s not anything too exciting. Yeah, the curve and change are pretty good, but the fastball is like 90-94 and doesn’t play on the plate.

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3 hours ago, wildcard said:

Luke, what can you tell us about Brandon Bailey?   

None of the Rule 5 eligible pitchers I have seen are ready to be starters in the majors.   That is not surprising.  But Zack Brown looks like he could be a multi inning reliever.    I am interested  in what pitches Brandon Bailey throws and how they are rated.

Thank in advance

Bailey is like Brown but with a premium spin rate fastball and 5 quality pitches. He has a 12-6 curve and a really good changeup. He’s a reliever or opener type who just hasn’t been moved to that role yet. His issues are holding stuff and flyball tendencies. Moving to a different role would let the fastball sit 93-94 where it’s unique plane and + ride would play much better.

I agree there isn’t any real MLB ready starters available. The best chance for a non-stash #5/6 starter seems like

Ljay Newsome - kind of like a slightly lesser RH Lowther with a whippy arm action that’s tough to pick up

Sterling Sharp - Low 90s sinkerballer, GB machine, above average slider, athletic

Steven Fuentes- mediocre stuff command guy, barrel missing life on the 90-94 mph fastball. 

Leo Crawford - kind of like another Nestor Cortes but a little more stuff but further away

Anthony Misieswicz - athletic 4 pitch lefty with blah velocity but solid offspeed stuff, strong finish in PCL

Griffin Jax - Command and feel righty 90-92, average-ish offspeed, probably gives up too much contact, pitch efficient strikethrower

Luke Bachar - basically Sedlock’s stuff with a better arm action and more stamina but less pedigree and lesser 4th pitch

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14 hours ago, 7Mo said:

Another article on Reed from May 2019. 

The first 33 games of 2019 have featured a paltry .205/.282/.410 slash as a 24-year-old in Double-A. An 84 wRC+ despite being slightly older than his average competition in the Texas League. Those numbers often describe a prospect afterthought, especially with most statistical categories beginning to normalize.

Yet, a look under the hood suggests Reed is on the verge of a breakout that could make him a hot commodity throughout the prospect community before the end of the regular season.

https://prospects365.com/2019/05/18/buddy-reed-and-buying-before-a-breakout/

Well, I wouldn’t say he had a breakout the rest of the year.   He hit .229/.321/.379 the rest of the way.    

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