If you use a binomial probability calculator, which I think is a pretty decent estimate, it says a 72-win team (on true talent) has about a 1% chance of winning 87 games. The Orioles are probably about a .350 team, or mid-50s in wins. If that's true, and the binomial distribution holds, the Orioles have less than a 0.001% chance of 87 wins. So something like one in 1.5 million.
10,000,000 sims was probably too much to ask of @Tony-OH. But maybe 1,500,000 isn't so bad?
Good question. Just my thoughts... I imagine that the 2021 draft would go by the same order as a the prior season's draft. So, essentially what you inferred. Tigers at 1, O's at 2, etc.
I think you under estimate how unessential baseball is. And if you don’t have fans you have no reason for stadiums to be open as they aren’t generating jobs for the community and aren’t providing tax dollars. And then you have huge groups of people moving from place to place. I think baseball is probably one of the last things to open up. Makes no sense to have teams traveling around the country with no fans. They could find a third world country that would be willing to let them play I suppose. They could play in the Dominican Republic. Stadium size is unimportant if you have no fans.
When I was a kid, I had Strat-O-Matic leagues...way before fantasy baseball or computers...there were cards that at times said so and so is injured for 5 games or 10 games, etc.