It’s not 15% of the way through the season, I know that much. I don’t think there’s a magic number but I do think that they are playing above their head right now.
I also don’t think Lil Yaz is the best player in baseball.
https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/29525916/what-2020-mlb-season-bring-all-30-teams This article was printed on 7/29/20.
From, The Tankers section at the bottom...
"If the Orioles win the World Series, it won't be because they're secretly better than we thought, and they won't ask us to believe it. It'll just be chaos. We'll love it.
...No bad team has ever won, or will win, a World Series.
Except this year, one might. As FanGraphs' playoff odds show, cutting the season from 162 games to 60 increased the Tigers' chances of making the playoffs by 20 times. And that was before they doubled the number of playoff teams.
It's still unlikely that the Tigers will win the World Series, and the Orioles are so bad that in simulations their odds of making the playoffs barely moved at all. But this season, for the first time in major league history, teams like the Marlins, Orioles, Tigers, Mariners and Royals have actual chances. In a way, this is history, and the Orioles have a chance to make it."
There was another article I read that I can't locate now that was actually insulting to the O's, but very funny too. I think most of us get that dichotomy with our club over the past couple decades. Anyway, it said of our chances something to the effect, "...seriously?!" I laughed out loud.
I'm glad so far that it hasn't turned out as bad as what was expected by the "experts." At least it's fun to watch. Go O's.
If they lose the Marlins series, it's over right there, so I'm not going to think past that series until that series is over. At that point, we'll have played 12 games - or one fifth of what's planned to be the regular season. Too soon.