The first year or two of those guys will be wasted regardless because we do not currently have enough talent on-hand to build a winner around them.
Mancini is good but hardly irreplaceable and likely a poor long-term extension candidate as an almost 30 year old 1B/DH type of player with a history of cancer.
Mullins will come back down to Earth eventually when his .360+ BABIP corrects itself.
Means may not be the same guy we have seen so far in 2021 without whatever substance he has been using on his fingers.
Santander is already arb-eligible and seems to be made of porcelain.
If we can turn some or all of those pieces into multiple guys that could help us realistically compete in 2024 and beyond, that is probably the way to go, IMO.
Do I like it? No, of course not.
But reality doesn't much care about my opinion of it.
Lawlar wouldn't be a draft eligible sophomore, so I'm not quite so sure he would demand 1-1 money or else go to college. I think the Orioles could get him for 7M, meaning they'd need to be roughly 800k under the rest of the way, which is doable.
We’re not even a 54 win team now. How many wins do you think are added if we replace Severino, Harvey, and Kremer with Adley, Grayson, and Hall? 65? At best? How many IP would you expect from the rookie P?
Were not close to contending next year. The top line goal might be to get to .500 next year but 2023 will be the earliest chance at contention.
I think teams are generally way smarter than they were even five years ago. I don't see teams falling over themselves to trade for a guy who doesn't have a very long track record of success. My hunch is that a "sell high" return would be pretty underwhelming at the moment - and in that case, I'd rather bet on Mullins continuing to succeed and hopefully contributing to a winning team or being a more valuable trade chip later on.
I don't think he'll ever be an MVP level player, but even if he produces at the same level as Adam Jones, that would be a key piece for the Orioles rebuild. I would be tempted to offer him an Adam Jones esque extension and try to lock him up now.
The Orioles should have an eye on 2023 as the first year of being competitive.