The Institute for Health Metrics and Estimates (IHME) has put out a tool that estimates hospital resources - beds, ICU beds, invasive ventilators per day through the summer. It shows peak use on April 15 with a more gradual decline through mid June. It also shows estimated deaths per day.
They loaded it on April 1 and will update on April 4. Based on JHU data, the number of deaths yesterday were slightly less than IHME’s low end estimate.
This assumes full social distancing through May.
I am reading. You say school is more important than spectator sports. This is a belief you have not based on logic.
1.) Who gets more funding, a stadium for a professional team or Olympic committee or public school system? Answer, sports. Sports has more money for politicians and more jobs. Rich people send their kids to private schools, which have the ability to do home schooling and what not. Politicians will sell their first child to have a NFL team in their city, you think they give a darn about schools in budgets? Give me a break.
2.) Yes, they will. Again, WWE in Florida is this weekend. Two nights, over 50 superstars (heck I think they do a Battle Royal for Andre The Giant memorial with 30 guys in ring same time) is still occurring despite the Governor issuing stay at home order. So to your governments not allowing this traveling virus show to hit their town is also a nice lack of reality. If MLB wants to have no attendance games in Florida right now, the governor and the state would 95% let that happen. I'd assume that is the same for other states as well. Let us remember, MLB was last organization to stop playing sports amid coronavirus.
3.) You go to schools AGAIN AND AGAIN, and comparatively it makes no sense for the basis of your argument. Schools have closed because they operate in two semesters, generally from January to June and August/September to December/January. It makes no sense to restart the school year at this moment since they've missed now two months. If they started up in May, that would bring them to August, start of the next school year, if June as some analysts predict, may be September, which would overlap school years. Business like MLB, NHL, NBA, NFL MLS are not tied to school years, so why would MLB not start on June 1 if they could? You make no sense.
4.) I don't know why I bother with you because you don't read and or listen and the vast majority of your strong held opinions are based on your feelings and not in reason. Good luck telling the NFL to hold their season because the kids haven't gone back to school. They have enough politicians and bring enough money to the table, that they will start whenever they want. And if they get delayed, it is more because this virus is out of control than the kids and their schools. But what do I know I'm living in fantasy sports land.
Bats take a while to warm up. Especially not that they start the season in March. I guess taking away Mancini and Villar away from last years line-up hurts. They provided 7.4 of the positional players 8.9 WAR last season.