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MLB looking into starting the season in MAY

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39 minutes ago, atomic said:

All this greed for money. You are talking about vey rich owners who can handle a year off. They cancelled a year to lock out players but they have to come up with absurd plans which will endanger many people.

It’s not like the players don’t want to play as well. Takes two to tango and then a portion of the population to watch them dance.

 

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1 hour ago, Aristotelian said:

Test players on a daily basis. You only get to play if you test negative or have a positive test for the antibodies. It won't be perfect but should keep it to one or two players at a time. MLB players are not a high risk group anyway.

Test every player, every day. 

Maybe you haven’t been following the news but I don’t think blowing 1500 kits per evening is, like, feasible or smart?

Results aren’t even daily returns yet.

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44 minutes ago, survivedc said:

It’s not like the players don’t want to play as well. Takes two to tango and then a portion of the population to watch them dance.

 

Yep, and some want to go to the beach, some to casinos, back to restaurants, some back to work...let's watch them all dance.

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19 minutes ago, Enjoy Terror said:

Test every player, every day. 

Maybe you haven’t been following the news but I don’t think blowing 1500 kits per evening is, like, feasible or smart?

Results aren’t even daily returns yet.

My assumption is that the testing situation is going to be much improved a month from now. I am kind of puzzled as to why we're not already there but that's another story. If not I would agree this would not be a good look.  

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15 minutes ago, UpstateNYfan said:

Yep, and some want to go to the beach, some to casinos, back to restaurants, some back to work...let's watch them all dance.

What? My point is it isn’t like the owners are simply forcing the players to play, this isn’t the sole result of owner greed syndrome. Furthermore a large segment of fans would like there to be baseball on tv for a little diversion. Obviously we shouldn’t be opening beaches and casinos etc right now? 

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4 minutes ago, Aristotelian said:

My assumption is that the testing situation is going to be much improved a month from now. I am kind of puzzled as to why we're not already there but that's another story. If not I would agree this would not be a good look.  

I don't know how anyone could have confidence that, by May or June, MLB could use 1,500 fast-turnaround tests a day, or around 40,000 per month, without affecting the availability of tests to health care workers, persons with symptoms or the general public. I think August is more realistic, and pretty much any month in 2020 that you pick is uncertain.

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2 minutes ago, spiritof66 said:

I don't know how anyone could have confidence that, by May or June, MLB could use 1,500 fast-turnaround tests a day, or around 40,000 per month, without affecting the availability of tests to health care workers, persons with symptoms or the general public. I think August is more realistic, and pretty much any month in 2020 that you pick is uncertain.

At this point there are multiple companies ramping up production to make over 50k tests in a day, with a few hoping to make around a million per week. The UK is developing an at home test that is supposed to be ready to go this month. May is certainly optimistic but I don’t think completely out of the question.

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28 minutes ago, spiritof66 said:

I don't know how anyone could have confidence that, by May or June, MLB could use 1,500 fast-turnaround tests a day, or around 40,000 per month, without affecting the availability of tests to health care workers, persons with symptoms or the general public. I think August is more realistic, and pretty much any month in 2020 that you pick is uncertain.

I'm not confident at all! But I am assuming there are people "in the know" who have more information about what to expect. The pro sports were ahead of everybody in shutting down and they could be ahead of everybody in getting back to business. 

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18 minutes ago, Aristotelian said:

I'm not confident at all! But I am assuming there are people "in the know" who have more information about what to expect. The pro sports were ahead of everybody in shutting down and they could be ahead of everybody in getting back to business. 

Dr. Birx said today that the issue they are seeing is the labs not using all of the equipment that they have. That apparently a high output Abbott machine is widespread but not being used for some reason. She said they were meeting with the lab company CEOs tonight or tomorrow to see about increasing throughput. They’ve gotten a lot better in a couple of weeks so hopefully the testing trend continues.

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1 hour ago, survivedc said:

At this point there are multiple companies ramping up production to make over 50k tests in a day, with a few hoping to make around a million per week. The UK is developing an at home test that is supposed to be ready to go this month. May is certainly optimistic but I don’t think completely out of the question.

I don't know what is and isn't out of the question. But based on what I know about testing, which is far from everything, if I were MLB I wouldn't be certain enough that there will be surplus test availability that I would plan a schedule that begins in May, after a short period spring training that would also require testing, probably more than 1,500 tests a day. And while 1,500 tests a day seems like a reasonable number for MLB, if there is going to be MiL play, that number has to be multiplied by at least two or three. 

I forgot to mention in my earlier post that, in my view, tests should go to other countries that need them before they are used to start the MLB season. 

 

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1 hour ago, spiritof66 said:

I don't know how anyone could have confidence that, by May or June, MLB could use 1,500 fast-turnaround tests a day, or around 40,000 per month, without affecting the availability of tests to health care workers, persons with symptoms or the general public. I think August is more realistic, and pretty much any month in 2020 that you pick is uncertain.

The market seems to be coming up with a lot of new ways to test.  This for example seems promising:

https://www.billiontoone.com/covid-19

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1 hour ago, Aristotelian said:

I'm not confident at all! But I am assuming there are people "in the know" who have more information about what to expect. The pro sports were ahead of everybody in shutting down and they could be ahead of everybody in getting back to business. 

I'm guessing that MLB has lots of information that we don't have. Even if that's true, my problem is with what it will do with that information. With a Commissioner whose principal objective seems to be to please the owners by focusing on the game's short-term revenue prospects and expenses, and a number of owners who have demonstrated a disinterest in MLB's reputation or what used to be called the good of the game, I see no reason to believe that information will be used to reach a decision that is thoughtful and responsible.

And a worst case would be that MLB announces a schedule for a season to begin on Date X, based on projections about test availability and need among other things, and when those projections don't pan out the season needs to be reduced (or run later) again.  

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3 hours ago, survivedc said:

What? My point is it isn’t like the owners are simply forcing the players to play, this isn’t the sole result of owner greed syndrome. Furthermore a large segment of fans would like there to be baseball on tv for a little diversion. Obviously we shouldn’t be opening beaches and casinos etc right now? 

Psst...if they have a contract, and they all do, they will be "forced" to play. So you decide which diversion is acceptable? If it happens, so be it...I think the quality of games and play will be no better than late ST. Will I watch?? Nope. I won't pay for the MLB package this year.

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4 hours ago, pdiddy said:

Dr. Birx said today that the issue they are seeing is the labs not using all of the equipment that they have. That apparently a high output Abbott machine is widespread but not being used for some reason. She said they were meeting with the lab company CEOs tonight or tomorrow to see about increasing throughput. They’ve gotten a lot better in a couple of weeks so hopefully the testing trend continues.

Sad times that I immediately know who Dr. Birx is. And I barely turn on the TV. Only read the news maybe twice a week. Just sayin'...

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