Carter Baumler is an overslot who people did not think was signable. The Orioles reportedly will be able to sign all of their draft picks, which tells me they have agreements. What a steal as a 5th rounder. They call him a more athletic Zack Greinke.
Baumler brings a 92-94 fastball with a clean, athletic delivery with good spin rate that will up in the zone. Missed time due to mono but some believe he has as much if not more potential than the top two high school arms taken.
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IMO If the O's were ahead in the standings at the trade deadline Adley would be in the majors, Galvis and Matt Harvey would stay if they were doing well. Elias is all about the future but he is not about to give up on a first place team.
I think if the O's are within 3 games of the division lead in late July they will hold with what they have and promote Adley. If they are more than 3 back they will be sellers. At 7 back already they are very likely sellers.
Just a small caveat to your post... I think our record has NOTHING to do with it. Even if we were one game back (or ahead) at the trade deadline, Elias would trade his mother if he thought it helped the organization long term.
No Angelos/Duquette trading prospects for short-term chances for Elias. I'm looking at YOU EdRod!
With he O's already 7 back in the standings it likely that Matt Harvey, Freddy Galvis and Pedro Severino will to on the trade block in July. Harvey and Galvis because they are free agents at the end of the season. Severino because he will be in in 2nd arbitration year and the O's are probably not going to want pay him. They probably will not offer arbitration so if any team will offer something in trade for him at the trade deadline the O's will probably move him. Adley will be the O's starting catcher in 2022.
Harvey leaving would just make more room for Kremer, Lopez, Akin, Zimmermann, Lowther and at some point Baumann in the rotation.
If Galvis goes Valaika and Urias would take over the SS duties. I look for Wilkerson to be promoted soon and given a shot at 2B. Franco has no trade value IMO and will probably stay the season at 3B. Valaika, Urias, Ruiz and Wilkerson all have options so they can be moved up and down to Norfolk depending on production and health. Jones and Bannon don't appear ready for the majors to me and are already being challenged for their AAA spots by Vavra and Dorrian. I don't think Richie Martin makes it through the season on the 40 man roster if he continues his poor hitting. They can use his roster spot for someone else.
Sisco, Wynns and Cumberland will share the catching duties if Severino is traded until Adley is ready. I don't expect Adley to be promoted to the majors this season.
Santander, Wilkerson and Cumberland could help the O's offense. I don't know whether Cumberland catching would be a good thing for the young pitchers though. i think of him more as a hitter.