Jump to content
Greg Pappas

Tracking the Signings for the 2020 MLB Draft

Recommended Posts

What a helpful tool for measuring when all is said and done if Mayo/Baumler bonus out as high or low 2nd rounders.  The Signed Bonus sort only works on 1 round at a time, but it'd be easy to spreadsheet.

But without doing that, I filtered back to 2019, and some observations:

Six 2nd round picks were >$2M; seven 1st round picks were <$2M.

Gunnar's $2.3M was 2nd highest for a 2nd round pick, and ~31st overall draft-wide.

In Round 3, I remember Matthew Allan ($2.5M) getting more overslot press, but the Padres Hudson Head ($3.0M) got the most.  It was the Padres who finally stopped Wilcox's fall in Round 3 this year - guess that's their move.

Round 4 max bonus was $1M, Round 5 max bonus was $1.5M.

 

  • Upvote 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

With nothing to pay attention to but the draft this spring, it was the first time it really dawned on me the way the rules are set up, draft-eligible kids basically only enter pro ball at 18 or 21, unless there are Bryce-level shenanigans or maybe they skipped a grade or vice versa.

Also the closed system of 150 picks really drove home your signing bonus is your draft slot.  Belatedly, I've thrown these numbers into a spreadsheet to see if while Rounds 4/5 unfolded, did anyone else have the commensurate $1.75M for a Mayo/Baumler type guy.

The result was not really.  I got entering Round 4, the Orioles had about $3.5M left, and second place was Texas at $1.8M.  Everyone else was under $1.5M.

Bonus-wise, the 6 items the Orioles picked with their #1 pool equated to about 7, 34, 45, 49, 56 and 80.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

Not really you can pro after one year at juco, you have draft eligible sophomores and lots of kids get signed as seniors.

True, and I know there will occasionally be the Pujols type legend, but imagine the NCAA + MLB net is pretty tight for domestic kids.  It looks like Pick 64 was the first guy B-Ref coded JuCo this year.

My admittedly simplistic understanding of draft eligible sophomores is you maybe missed a grade somewhere and now you are 21.  Senior signs = not real prospects, natch.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, OrioleDog said:

True, and I know there will occasionally be the Pujols type legend, but imagine the NCAA + MLB net is pretty tight for domestic kids.  It looks like Pick 64 was the first guy B-Ref coded JuCo this year.

My admittedly simplistic understanding of draft eligible sophomores is you maybe missed a grade somewhere and now you are 21.  Senior signs = not real prospects, natch.

Perhaps I'm misunderstanding your point, but our very own Nick Markakis didn't sign out of HS, played two years at Young Harris College (which was JUCO at the time***) and was taken as the 7th overall pick in 2003. I believe he was 19 when drafted and would turn 20 in November 2003 (so his baseball age would have been 19 for that season).

*** He was twice named Georgia Junior College Player of the Year and was awarded Baseball America's 2002 National JUCO Player of the Year.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
55 minutes ago, BohKnowsBmore said:

Perhaps I'm misunderstanding your point, but our very own Nick Markakis didn't sign out of HS, played two years at Young Harris College (which was JUCO at the time***) and was taken as the 7th overall pick in 2003. I believe he was 19 when drafted and would turn 20 in November 2003 (so his baseball age would have been 19 for that season).

*** He was twice named Georgia Junior College Player of the Year and was awarded Baseball America's 2002 National JUCO Player of the Year.

Nick certainly would have been a better hometown memory than Pujols!

But I stick by the NCAA + MLB net being tight; certainly today is the first time I've looked at a year's draft results with this filter, but Nick was the only one of the 37 first-rounders his year typed JC.

https://www.baseball-reference.com/draft/?year_ID=2003&draft_round=1&draft_type=junreg&query_type=year_round&from_type_jc=0&from_type_hs=0&from_type_4y=0&from_type_unk=0

As of today he's still got Adam Jones 34-33 for most rWAR from that year's 1st round.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, OrioleDog said:

True, and I know there will occasionally be the Pujols type legend, but imagine the NCAA + MLB net is pretty tight for domestic kids.  It looks like Pick 64 was the first guy B-Ref coded JuCo this year.

My admittedly simplistic understanding of draft eligible sophomores is you maybe missed a grade somewhere and now you are 21.  Senior signs = not real prospects, natch.

I'm guessing more senior signs have made the majors than either you or I would expect.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


Orioles Information


Orioles News and Information

Daily Organizational Boxscores
News

Tony's Takes

Orioles Roster Resource

Orioles Prospect Information

2018 End of Season Top 30 Prospects List

Prospect Scouting Reports

Statistics

2019 Orioles Stats

2019 Orioles Minor League Stats

Baseball Savant Stats






  • Posts

    • My kids now will sometimes complain about the quality of the pitch where they have a soccer game because it's **shudder** grass with a few bare spots or weeds.  Even St. Mary's County stepped up in the last year and put in two really nice turf fields, not the 1988 Royals Stadium stuff, but the modern thick cushiony stuff that you wear normal cleats on and that drains in minutes after a huge downpour. We had a tournament over Columbus Day weekend in Manassas and the goalposts were rusty and needed a coat of paint.  Can you imagine having people over with the place in such a condition?  The embarrassment...
    • We have space for 15ish players and we have only talked about protecting around 7-10 guys...so yes, they easily have space. Of course, you do have to be able to field a ML team and dropping one of these kids off the 40 man exposes them in a way they don’t have to stay on the roster, like you do with the rule 5.  So, it could end up being riskier you put them on the 40 man now.     That being said, I think we have the room to make sure you don’t lose anyone you could regret.
    • I don't know what to say without seeing him, but I doubt he is protected. And even if he is picked, I doubt he would stick for the entire year. That said, if he really has turned some corners, then there is room. It may be at the expense of another prospect, though. 
    • Not sure if this was posted elsewhere, but I didn’t see it. Was two weeks before this thread.  
    • And the Rays announcers are really good. Much better than the buffoons who chatter during Os games
    • This is a really gripping series. I’ve never been so engaged by two teams I don’t really care about... although I want the Rays to win, of course. The Dodgers and Nats are the evil children of the NL.
    • It is in the last 30 seconds of this 50-minute podcast, but FWIW they had the Hartford (Rockies AA) play by play guy as a guest Nevin expert, and skimming Vavra at the end he said he thought Vavra would have had a good chance to make the Yard Goats this year (i.e., do the Low-A to AA double bump in 2020). The other Nevin nuggets were August 2019 Eastern League Player of the Month, and giving the near 1B only 2019 positional context as in part being driven by having Colton Welker as a teammate.    
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...