Orioles At Boston 7/24 Opening Day 2020
By
weams, in Game Threads
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1966 ranks 107th of the 115 World Series ever played? The hell with that! That series was a huge upset and featured two 1-0 nail biters. 1970 ranks 95th? The great O’s team over the Big Red Machine? Brooks puts on the best defensive show of all time and this is what we get? 1983 ranks 84th? So all three Orioles wins are in the bottom 32 World Series ever played, and worse than every World Series they lost? Aargggghhh! Now for the killer: you have to jump all the way to 36 for Mets vs. Orioles in 1969. Other than the fact that the Mets were a terrible team before ‘69, what about that series is better than 1983? They are both 5 game series where the winning team lost the opener and then swept 4 straight. Screw this! This is why I hate all New York sports teams so much. 1971 — 20th. 1979 — 13th. Now, I can’t really argue that, objectively speaking, the two seven game losses to the Pirates weren’t better World Series than the four other 4-5 game Series that the O’s played. But lord it pains me to see them up so high. And just to add insult to injury: “When Eddie Murray batted in the eighth inning of Game 7, the championship leverage index in the moment was higher than for any other play in history. He flied to the edge of the warning track, and after a slightly awkward break, Dave Parker ran it down. Five more feet and it could have looked a lot like the ball Nelson Cruzmisplayed, for which David Freese got a triple, in 2011.” https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/29104085/ranking-every-world-series-mlb-history -
FV dropped from 50 to 45 and ceiling dropped from 55 to 50. That feels a little harsh to me. But based on the write-up, it seems Tony heard some things about Diaz’s camp that were a bit more negative than what has been stated publicly. I think Diaz is a guy who could exceed his projection if things go right for him.
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Ceiling grade dropped from 55 to 50 this year.
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Hopefully “better than those guys” is not the standard we’re trying to meet.
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One name I haven’t seen listed yet is Hunter Harvey, who is still rookie-eligible. He was ranked 10th last year. For now I will assume he’s been downgraded after being somewhat less impressive in 2020 than in 2019, but it’s also possible that Tony didn’t realize he was still eligible. The next two on last year’s list were Wells and Rom. That’s not a pairing here, but Zimmermann did reach the majors and didn’t embarrass himself, so Wells and Zimmermann is possible. Assuming Tony meant what he said about not shuffling the order of incumbent players who weren’t in Bowie, McKenna-Hall and Hall-Mayo aren’t possibilities since there are several incumbent players ahead of Hall. That leaves Baumler-Mayo or Mayo-Baumler. The latter seems more likely since Mayo was the higher pick and got the higher bonus. As between Mayo-Baumler and Wells-Zimmermann, I think Tony will go with the younger pairing with more upside. Wells and Zimmermann are both 5th starter/swingman types. And my gut tells me that Wells not being invited to Bowie is a bad sign for him. So I’m going Mayo-Baumler.
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Got this pairing correct. Not that excited about Vavra’s writeup, though.
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I think it all depends on how much his deception plays up. He throws a little harder than Milone and his release point and extension on his release helps it play up as well. I like him, but was disappointed that Elias didn't have him at the auxiliary camp.
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