Orioles At Boston 7/24 Opening Day 2020
By
weams, in Game Threads
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By Sports Guy · Posted
Well if speaking for yourself means placing irrational expectations on a player, you aren’t too good at it either. I mean seriously..you really think those SHoULD be his numbers? And if so, you would be disappointed with a 260/325/500 slash line? I mean, you would have to be disappointed in that if you think his OPS should be 75 points higher. -
I can speak for myself. You are pretty bad at it. -
By OsFanSinceThe80s · Posted
I had a bad feeling about the Parra trade the moment it was made. Trading for a player having a career year and changing leagues is a good way to get that player to return back to his career norms. -
Santander played well, and his defense earned a GG finalist spot, though Gallo clearly beat him. Defense is important. As he learns the intimate details of RF at OPACY, his D can be expected to improve. I don’t think offense improves linearly: as he addresses his flaws-or doesn’t- he will either dramatically improve, or stay about the same. His BABIP was .248, which is below league average(?) and his K rate was only 15.6%. His walk rate is pretty low, which indicates he has a good eye and makes contact, so even if nothing changes, I’d expect better production when the hits stop finding so many gloves. He was worth.9 WAR in 60 games. I’d expect 2 or above if he plays 150 games. Hays’ bat is a bit more suspect, but it’s logical for him to come into his own as he faces more MLB-level pitching. But his defense is wonderful, and even if he isn’t hitting as well as he should, he’s likely better on offense than Mullins( unless Mullins himself has come into his own, and his 2020 is his new normal.) Either way, I’m not worried about OF production, so long as Mc and Mancini aren’t out there. -
I also think .900 OPS is very optimistic for Santander, when you consider that his .890 last year was built on a .315 ISO. That’s Chris Davis in his best seasons-type power. There were only six major league qualifiers last year with a .315+ ISO, and five in 2019. I think Santander has nice power but not at that level. Anything over .200-.225 would be gravy. -
By OsFanSinceThe80s · Posted
Hays needs to be able to stay healthy for a season or he might just end up being the Nolan Reimold of the 2020's Orioles. -
The Rule V thing is a wellspring for me of the bigger Santander enthusiasm. We'll see what kind of dance teams dance about stuff like...Gosh, Adley and Yusniel missed development so they can't break in for a long while yet, but Rule V is a similarly big obstacle (maybe worse if you buy in to the trope too early exposure to stuff in The Show can "ruin" a guy), so he's perhaps developmentally younger, and there's a fair bit of delta on the medium-term projection if Santander's 2020 performance can count as "baseball 24" even though he was 25.
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