This is flawed logic. There are lots of reasons why 1st or 2nd round talents don't go in those rounds. Sometimes they have a high level of risk that makes them more of a risk and teams go with others less risky. In Baumler and Mayo's case, they were high school seniors that barely played so most teams went college heavy. Also, teams had a strict budget and once they couldn't meet the player's demands, they slipped.
I am with SG on the DSJ vs. Yaz decision. Yaz had to go to San Francisco to become who he currently is. Something clicked there, and not in Baltimore with the previous regime. Yaz is, as SG said, a 1% outlier. Good for him. Seems like a great guy. But he was not a prospect anymore. Anyone could have taken him as a rule 5, but that did not happen either. So, 29 teams missed him, not just Baltimore.
With DSJ, they saw a guy who can hit any and all pitching, and likely thought he was enough of an athlete to improve in LF and be maybe a tick below average out there. Instead, they got a guy who had some injuries, shoulder and neck, that really affected him in 2019. I think his throwing was much better in the Spring of 2019 when I saw him. After that, he was out of shape, timid and really ambivalent about his defense. The shoulder took a below average arm and turned it into a little league arm. The neck injury incurred when he ran into the wall, likely made him never want to take a risk again out there. And it shows.
Two years ago, this looked a lot better than it turned out. The facts are the facts, but I think most teams would have done what the Orioles did.
I certainly pat the O’s on the back for getting Santander. I loathe Dan, but I sure give him due credit for getting Santander. He’s certainly among the best overall rule 5 picks of the last decade or so. I think the best might be Joe Biagini, but only at the moment, because The San Tan Man(tr) may surpass him next year.
Regarding Yak, Grant Brisbee’s end of season Giants grades point out that Yaz was top ten in every offensive category( except walks, I think) and he was good on defense as well. I don’t mind letting him go, but I do mind refusing to give him a chance. It’s not like anybody on a 47-win team was blocking him, so there will never be an acceptable excuse.
I was at that game in 1993.
I was seated in the lower deck of Yankee Stadium on the third-base side, looking out toward right field. I saw the play from pretty much the same angle that the umpire would have seen it.
And I didn't know, until I read about it in the paper the next day, what had happened, because I completely lost track of the ball as it descended against the backdrop of three decks of seats filled with fans. I assumed, since Mattingly jogged around the bases, that it had landed in the seats beyond the wall.
Perhaps the umpire, from his vantage point on the field, should have been close enough to see the play better than I could. But I could understand why it could have been tough for him.