I listen to a few podcasts and I think the O's have gone to great lengths to teach good swing decisions. Swinging at a low/away slider on the first pitch of an AB might be a bad swing decision in their eyes even if it's a strike.
That approach will lead to better contact, but also deeper counts and thus more k's and walks. I think we view the k rate as the tradeoff to better contact when we actually swing, so I would expect it to be relatively high.
It is strange. Cedric is only 19th in the AL in runs scored (but just 3 runs behind number 13). Even more surprising: Cedric leads the league with 99 hits with no outs, 10 more than Altuve, who's in second place. You would think lots of no-out hits would lead to lots of runs, but it obviously depends on the guys batting after you,
I wouldn't look so much at the OBP of hitters after Cedric since getting on base without a hit usually won't drive a runner in. I would guess that their BAs and SLGs are more important. The Orioles' 2 through 5 hitters have been really bad in both slugging and batting average:
Batting second: .217 in BA (15th in the AL), .403 in slugging (9th in the AL)
Batting third: .253 (9th), .419 (11th)
Batting fourth: .242 (12th), .422 (13th)
Batting fifth: 12th (.228), .385 (13th)
The Orioles' second through fifth hitters rank 8th, 12th, 14th and 12th in the AL in RBIs. That seems to fit Cedric's surprisingly low runs-scored total: the guys following him haven't been very good at driving in Cedric, each other or anyone else.
Cedric's low RBI total doesn't surprise me when you look at how bad the hitters before Cedric -- that is, the bottom of the batting order -- have been at getting on base and giving him RBI opportunities.
Batting seventh: .283 in OBP (13th in the AL)
Batting eighth: .244 in OBP (15th, last by 23 points)
Batting ninth: .283 in OBP (13th)
Something I didn't really expect when I looked at these numbers: they remind me that, other than Cedric, Mountcastle among rookies (though he shouldn't qualify, IMO), and maybe Hays, the Orioles' offense has been really bad compared to the rest of the league. Expecting a year of growth and the advent of Rutschman to lead to a large upgrade next year is delusional.
I wish Stroman could be had for 3 years, but I'm sure 4 is more likely. I just don't think that long-term contracts for free agent pitchers in their 30's is a great way to go. I would hate to see another Cobb situation for the Orioles.
Btw, if this article is right, GTFO all of these guys except Stroman..I would beat that offer and not think twice about it.
From 2017-2019, he didn’t appear in more than 110 games.
Bryant and Correa debuted in MLB the same year and Bryant is worth 7 more WAR.
Bryant isnt some butcher at third. You are greatly overreacting to his defense as of right now. We agree that it will be an issue in a few years and he likely won’t stay at third long term but he can still play there now.
Baez is about to turn 29. He’s an intriguing option but I think he’s wAnts glitz and glamour. He seems to be a guy like that, so I dont think he’s a likely signing for us.
To be honest with you, I think all of these guys are extremely risky. If we are talking the FA route, I like Bryant aging well and keeping up his value whether it’s in the OF or first. I think his bat will stay strong, especially in our park, that he will have value anywhere he plays.
But look at the SS..Correa and Seager have health issues. Story’s having an off year, he’s about to turn 29 and his career OPs on the road is almost 250 points less than at home in Coors. Simien has had his recent issues.
The stat you brought up is great but the bottom line is that our current OF is completely unreliable.
We will wait and see on Mullins but no one should be going into the offseason feeling great about Santander and Hays. On top of that, we don’t know how long Mancini will be here, who has helped with that stat.
Beyond that, we agree about the long term viability of the OF but it wasn’t long ago where we thought Diaz was a long term guy and Mullins was garbage…things change fast. Personally, I don’t feel Stowers or Neustrom will be everyday guys but I do want to see them get a chance. And of course we still know nothing about Kjerstad.
One thing I will say is that the best case scenario would be to get a Nolan Jones or someone like that, for third or SS (ie, an up and coming young player with high upside who is attainable) and spend the money elsewhere.
I wouldn't "hand" anyone a job. But, I would like to see Mateo given an extended look in 2022 to see what we have there. I liked what I saw in a limited look. We need to see if he is more than a utility or AAAA player.