I think the power outage was mostly a result of pitchers attacking him outside the zone and him chasing. He has the ability to make contact with the pitches but he wasn't barreling them, resulting in weak contact.
Attendance has been down, perpetually in the bottom half of the league going back to 2006, except 2014 when they were 6th out of 15 and it's been abysmal for 2018 and 2019.
Some people will scream "MASN money!!!!" but I'm also not sure how you can just say "it's fair to say" they have a lot of payroll they could add. Again, no one has access to the books, no one knows for sure.
I am not sure how a team can sustain 120+ million in payroll for years on end when the attendance is where it is. I'm too lazy to look and I also don't really care but I would be surprised to find a team that has a payroll in the range that you deem acceptable for the Orioles that has the attendance records that the Orioles do for a number of years in a row on end.
I agree that it's about how you spend it but I'm fine with the Orioles not spending it if Elias deems that whatever's out there isn't worth it.
I did not say that you disagreeing is wrong.
I said that the way in which you choose to express your disagreement is wrong.
You presume unto yourself the ability to understand not only the actions of management and ownership, but their motivations. You state emphatically and repeatedly that "they do not want to win".
That is a dishonest tactic... You do not and cannot know that which you claim to know.
You can know what they do. You can know what they say. But you cannot read their hearts and minds. And to pretend that you can is dishonest and disingenuous. And worse yet, you pretend that anyone who might interpret their actions differently than you do is some kind of rube... "being duped".
Maybe you're not aware of how this is perceived by others, but it isn't positively.
I'm happy to discuss differences of opinion. And am happy to have someone who doesn't share my opinion. It makes for interesting discussion. I'm just asking you to restrain the things that turn discussion into conflict.
I think pegging him at something around an 800 OPS is fair.
His OpS is likely to always be somewhat limited due to the lack of walks and high OBP. If he ever has a 350+ OBP, I would be mildly surprised. I expect him to usually be in the 320-335 range.
Like Frobby, a slugging in the 475 area is about where I would expect him. So yea, 780-810 range. A lot of that will depend on if he is a 270-285 type hitter or a 280-300 hitter.
The thing that gives me hope is that he walked at a better rate than I expected him to when he got to Baltimore. There still should be some room for improvement.
I'd be happy with a 40 point separation between his batting average and on base percentage. Anything over that would be a nice surprise.
No one has said they should spend X amount more.
However, we do know that they have recently spent 100M more than they are now, so it’s fair to say that they have a lot of payroll that they could add.
I don’t need the payroll to be that high regardless of whether they are winning or not though. It’s not about how much you spend, it’s how you spend it.