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Tony-OH

Analysis of 2020 Rule 5 Eligible players

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4 hours ago, Moose Milligan said:

Pffft, who'd want our cast of broken toys?

I'm not worried about who we could lose in the Rule 5, that's just silly talk.  Who are we looking to GET in the Rule 5 is what I want to know!!!111 Bring on the Rule 5 baby, only time the Orioles win at anything!  Which Quad A type pitcher are we going to have to try to keep on our roster all year!?!?  I can't WAIT!!!

I laughed, but I was actually going to say the same thing...except I don’t think we take a pitcher, I think we take a solid 3B

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2 hours ago, Legend_Of_Joey said:

Pop could be claimed and put on the DL for the season (like Santander.) 

Pretty hard to justify.    He’s fully healthy and by spring he’ll be almost 2 years removed from his TJ surgery.   

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I too would like to see Pop protected. There are a few guys on the 40 that I would let go to protect him. I like the high reward/risk guys. If he can get to his ceiling, he could be a force in the bullpen.

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27 minutes ago, MCO'sFan said:

I too would like to see Pop protected. There are a few guys on the 40 that I would let go to protect him. I like the high reward/risk guys. If he can get to his ceiling, he could be a force in the bullpen.

Pop could be a force in the ML pen this coming season.

If he’s healthy and performing , I would expect him to be a potential call up by June.

Realistically, he’s a candidate in the second half of the year since he will be rusty but he could move fast.

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As a one inning guy out of the pen he could theoretically make the team with a solid spring.  Not a lot of craft needed to pitch the sixth inning and if he's already on the forty...

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I don't expect the Orioles to sign many (or really any) free agents to Major League contracts and with that, there is space on the 40-man to protect a number of players. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe we have 5 spots open now which should mean Diaz, Baumann, Lowther, Wells and Pop can all be protected. I would protect Bannon and, maybe, Hanifee as well. There is plenty of guys who you could clear to make room. I expect Nunez to be gone (trade or non-tender). I would be surprised if we moved on from Ruiz (and would be fine with giving Bannon and chance there instead). I could see Alberto moved. I could see Severino moved.

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1 hour ago, Can_of_corn said:

As a one inning guy out of the pen he could theoretically make the team with a solid spring.  Not a lot of craft needed to pitch the sixth inning and if he's already on the forty...

He needs to dominate AAA for at least 3 years before we call him up.  I say bring him up in May 2025 so he’s still under control for our 2031 playoff run. 

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12 hours ago, Philip said:

mad-men-gif-not-great-bob-1-thumb-500x27

I'm sorry but I resemble that statement!  😝

Now back to the usual Rule 5 expert opinions!  

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16 hours ago, RZNJ said:

Nestor Cortes.  Just saying.  Soft tossing lefty.

Ahh yes!  Remember when @Luke-OH 's analyses yielded Nestor?  His "jerky-jerk" delivery was not mesmerizing enough however.  I miss those good times!  😑

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6 minutes ago, ArtVanDelay said:

He needs to dominate AAA for at least 3 years before we call him up.  I say bring him up in May 2025 so he’s still under control for our 2031 playoff run. 

Sounds like Elias is going to leave his replacement in a good position to succeed.

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11 hours ago, RZNJ said:

Like the vast majority of rule 5 picks.  

And Cortes had put up a 1.49 ERA and 10.6 K/9 in 48.1 AAA innings when selected. Which is why again that pitchers like Wells are rarely taken in a rule 5 draft and if they are, they don't last with their new team.

Here's what Elias may be thinking though. The chances of Wells being taken is very slim. If he doesn't put him on the roster, he gets whole other year of protecting Wells without losing an option year. There are several guys right now that he can jettison without concern it better players are DFA'd from other organizations.

Saying that, the Orioles are pretty deep with Wells caliber left-handed starting pitcher with Zimmermann and Kevin Smith the most obvious AA or higher comps. 

I believe Lowther is step ahead of them and Baumann above them all, so the Orioles have a nice crop of readyor nearly ready young starters.

By next August, I could see the Orioles rotation including:
Means
Akin
Kremer
Baumann
Lowther

Zimmermann would be the other guy who could still be in the rotation (I think he's the favorite as a 5th starter right now) with Wells and Smith in the wings.

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