20-12-13-23 HRs in 2016-2019. 7 last year which pro-rates to 18 or 19.
So certainly reasonable to expect 15+ as a full time player in Camden Yards. We aren't talking A-Rod or Nomah, but it's not chopped liver.
[Sidebar: why is chopped liver the universal analogy for something that is bad? Why are "hotcakes" always the example of something that sells very quickly?]