Do you mean, median WAR/team from the draft? I haven’t seen that exact calculation, but here’s an article that breaks things down a bit:
Finger to the wind, I’d say a median team draft produces about 20 rWAR. I think the median may be considerably below the mean, and so an endless string of median-level drafts would not be a good result.
I get there three different ways. First, the article shows that the available WAR in a draft is roughly 600 on average. 600/30 = 20.
Second, I did a study of the AL East drafts a while back and found that the drafts from 2000-09 had produced 1100 WAR. 1100 for 5 teams over 10 years = 22 WAR per year. That number can rise a bit since some of those players are still playing, though most aren’t.
Third, we know that WAR is calibrated so that an average team will have 34 WAR in a year. 70-75% comes from drafted players, the rest from foreign players. So figure 26 WAR/year from drafted players. Logically, the draft should be supplying about that much talent every year for the system to be self-sustaining.
The reason I think the mean is probably significantly higher than the median is that one star player might produce enough WAR to cover 2-3 drafts.
FWIW, the Orioles’ 2000-2009 drafts had produced 153 WAR going into this season. Clearly a below average total, which is not surprising.
I saw 4 plays. 2 routine plays he made (weak arm). One tough play he made but he looked like a circus clown. He made a mental error not covering 1b on ball between P and 1b. 1b was salty, he fielded ball and had no one to throw to. Dude is really really fast and looks very very strong.
Bat is quick. Aggressive early in count and looked comfortable hitting with 2 strikes. His hit came on a 2 strike slider, barreled a ball in next at bat but got out in front and sent ball to warning track. Looks very comfortable at the plate, looks like a fish out of water a 2b.
Stranger: There’s just one thing, Dude.
The Dude: Yeah, what’s that?
Stranger: Do you have to use so many cuss words?
The Dude: The f**k you talkin’ about???
Stranger: Ok, Dude, have it your way.