Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
LookinUp

O’s Sign Galvis. 1/$1.25 million

Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, Tony-OH said:

Thanks for posting that. I know I've read that before and I probably should have brought that up. I've done a lot of research into the statcast/Hawk-Eye cameras information and agree, there's a ton more to analyze and figure out, but it's fascinating for me because for once, there is no math really involved, just cold hard data to measure up against others in similar situations. 

I'm also interested in Bauer's units to see if I can correlate why certain guys can get away with 91 MPH fastball when others can't. I just wish I had the data for the Orioles minor leaguers.

We can all play along at home like Garry Kasparov or Magnus Carlsen, but I'm pretty sure clubs are trying to get AI on this case.    Go Sig - do a good job!

There is definitely some Dead Poets Society chart measuring the greatness of a fastball by spin + velocity.   Its probably a relic already.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Quote

A year after they signed José Iglesias to a similar one-year deal (and turned his career year into two prospects this offseason), Baltimore signed Galvis to provide a veteran glove at short again. Offensively, he’s nearly the opposite of Hernandez. He has a little pop in his bat but really struggles to get on base at a regular clip. He did make some strides at the plate in 2020. He posted the highest walk rate and ISO of his career while lowering his strikeout rate by nearly six points. And despite a terribly unlucky .231 BABIP, he posted the highest wRC+ of his career as well.

But despite the rosy picture all those career-highs paint, there were some concerning trends underneath the hood. His hard hit rate took a steep tumble, falling from 36.4% to 27.9%, one of the lowest hard hit rates in the majors. The reason why he was able to post the highest power output of his career even though his hard hit rate fell so precipitously was because of how those hard hit balls were distributed. When he hit the ball harder than 95 mph, his average launch angle was 18.6 degrees. But on balls hit softer than 95 mph, his average launch angle was 8.4 degrees. Hitting just enough hard hit balls in the air saved him from being a total loss at the plate, but that’s not a profile that bodes well for his batting average.

Defensively, he was a bit of a mess in 2020 as well. Per Statcast’s outs above average, he’s been the fifth best shortstop in the majors since 2017, converting 25 outs above average during that time. But most of that glove work came during the first three years of that sample. In 2020, he was one of the worst shortstops in the majors, costing the Reds 3 outs below average. The other advanced defensive metrics saw a similar dip in fielding prowess.

For such a low investment, betting on his glove to return to its previous norms is an easy bet for the Orioles to make. Baltimore doesn’t really have a better alternative on their roster at this point. He’s not the most exciting addition to the roster, but he does make the team better at a key position. And maybe he’ll follow Iglesias’ footsteps and post a career year in 2021.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/cleveland-and-baltimore-solidify-their-up-the-middle-defense/

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I think a lot of us (me included) predicted the O's would sign Galvis to a contract somewhat similar to what he signed.  Where a bunch of us disagree is whether or not he's at the same level as Iglesias.  Granted, until last year there probably wasn't much difference, and last year was a very short season.  However, last year is the best we got for predicting what they'll do in the future.  I hope he proves me wrong, but I don't expect that Galvis will play at Iglesias' level.       

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
24 minutes ago, Ruzious said:

I think a lot of us (me included) predicted the O's would sign Galvis to a contract somewhat similar to what he signed.  Where a bunch of us disagree is whether or not he's at the same level as Iglesias.  Granted, until last year there probably wasn't much difference, and last year was a very short season.  However, last year is the best we got for predicting what they'll do in the future.  I hope he proves me wrong, but I don't expect that Galvis will play at Iglesias' level.       

He’s certainly not going to hit at the level Iglesias did last year.   Nor will Iglesias.   

  • Upvote 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Here are some Galvis/Iglesias projections:

ZipS: Iglesias .296/.326/.428, Galvis .246/.300/.382

Steamer: Iglesias .278/.311/.399, Galvis .238/.294/.387

ATC: Iglesias .279/314/.398, Galvis .239/.295/.395

THE BAT: Iglesias .279/.318/.399, Galvis .236/.291/.388

THE BATX: Iglesias .274/.314/.384, Galvis .238/.291/.388

Marcel: Iglesias .279/.322/.418, Galvis .242/.299/.409

So, Iglesias in the .698 - .754 OPS range, Galvis in the .679-.708 range.   

By the way, I’ve never heard of ATC, THE BAT or THE BATX.   But Fangraphs is publishing them, so I listed them.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Astonishingly, Galvis has not matched Semien, and Clay Davenport's revisions through yesterday's moves get us up to an MLB-high 100 losses!

http://claydavenport.com/projections/PROJHOME.shtml

Take that, Pirates!

I occasionally hear talking heads reference Fangraphs projected WAR by team, but haven't yet discovered if they venture a Standings Projection mid-offseason.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
19 minutes ago, OrioleDog said:

Astonishingly, Galvis has not matched Semien, and Clay Davenport's revisions through yesterday's moves get us up to an MLB-high 100 losses!

http://claydavenport.com/projections/PROJHOME.shtml

Take that, Pirates!

I occasionally hear talking heads reference Fangraphs projected WAR by team, but haven't yet discovered if they venture a Standings Projection mid-offseason.

They do team projections, but closer to the start of the season.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Moving on to the deployment...

Is he going to be able to do the Jose Iglesias trick of batting 3rd on Opening Day, and 2nd or 3rd in 100% of his starts?

Roster Resource resting on a guess of 7th behind Hays/Stewart/Santander/Mancini/Sisco/Mountcastle.

Opening Day was Hays/Santander/Iglesias/Nunez/Davis/Alberto/Ruiz/Severino/Stewart.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 hours ago, Frobby said:

He’s certainly not going to hit at the level Iglesias did last year.   Nor will Iglesias.   

Nobody expects either of them to, so...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 1/27/2021 at 8:34 AM, scOtt said:

It's all just an excuse to eat gobs of Maple Surple!

 

 

 

John Hartford ref...

Now that I think about it... It's actually a Roger Miller reference.

Roses are red
Violets are purple
Sugar is sweet
And so is Maple Surple!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 1/26/2021 at 10:55 PM, Roll Tide said:

I just dont understand why anyone would be excited about this move.

It's a new fuel pump, not a quadrophonic Blaupunkt. It's not supposed to be exciting, just necessary.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
24 minutes ago, beervendor said:

It's a new fuel pump, not a quadrophonic Blaupunkt. It's not supposed to be exciting, just necessary.

Thanks

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 1/27/2021 at 8:38 AM, Roll Tide said:

I’m not upset that we traded Iglesias...but why spend over a million in this guy. Just sign a Guy for the minimum or they should’ve drafted a rule 5 guy with a plus glove.

That's what Richie Martin was 2 years ago.

He was the best option (at least in the scouts eyes) and struggled mightily.  If the options this year weren't seen as strong a candidate as him, then teams passing on SS makes sense.

While they is no giant World Series aspirations this year, we should start seeing more and more young pitchers.  The known professional defender means more there than the chance of a rule V guy being on par.  I'm not excited about Galvis/Sanchez at the plate, but I do hope we'll see a lot of double plays.

  • Upvote 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
28 minutes ago, jerios55 said:

That's what Richie Martin was 2 years ago.

He was the best option (at least in the scouts eyes) and struggled mightily.  If the options this year weren't seen as strong a candidate as him, then teams passing on SS makes sense.

While they is no giant World Series aspirations this year, we should start seeing more and more young pitchers.  The known professional defender means more there than the chance of a rule V guy being on par.  I'm not excited about Galvis/Sanchez at the plate, but I do hope we'll see a lot of double plays.

I posted some guys earlier in the with 55-60 ratings with glove and arm. Who cares if they werent ready to hit as we aren't trying to win. This guy is more expensive and his OBP is just over 300. As I mentioned later, I really dont care just seems like extra revenue when money appears to be tight.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this  

Orioles Information


Orioles News and Information

Daily Organizational Boxscores
News

Tony's Takes

Orioles Roster Resource

Orioles Prospect Information

2020 Top 30 Prospects List

Prospect Scouting Reports

Statistics

2020 Orioles Stats

2019 Orioles Minor League Stats

Baseball Savant Stats






  • Posts

    • One last thought. When the reserve clause died in court and all players could become free agents every year, the players union was smart and agreed to a service requirement. It was good for salaries and good for the sport to control supply/demand, even if it seemed like a giveaway by the players. If there was a non-performance clause built into free agent contracts that gave some level of relief to owners, it would benefit salaries and the sport. Small to mid size teams would have more ability to chase top talent because the affect of a bad contract would be less calamitous to their limited payroll means if it was discounted by some percentage for non-performance. Ask Scott Boras if he’d rather have three teams bidding for his client or six. Our very own Albert Belle contract made insuring contracts fairly cost prohibitive (though it kinda seems like we’re keeping Davis on the roster for some reason other than insanity). But that practice of insuring contracts showed that there’s more money to spend on players if you give owners some level of protection from disaster contracts like Davis. Owners used to pay huge amounts to insure contracts before they became cost prohibitive. So if it’s good for competitiveness by allowing smaller teams to be more aggressive, and it’s good for player salaries, and it’s good for owners by protecting their investments, by what principle is a player entitled to the full value of a contract that they have essentially defaulted on for non-performance? 
    • By the way, I agree that Davis’ contract was insanely stupid long before he showed us how stupid it was by his performance. Angeles victimized himself. But I’m talking more generally about non-performance of contracts. I think the top earners would fare even better if not for the associated risks by ownership. They aren’t playing with Monopoly money. The risk builds a discounting into what owners will spend. And smaller market teams are less able to take risks because the affect of one Davis-like contract on their smaller payroll is huge. On what principle should players receive the full value of a contract they unable to satisfy competently? We’re rained out tonight....I wouldn’t be asking otherwise. Wait, did you call me noob?  
    • How about a 10 minute deep cleaning between each use of a bathroom stall.  That would be a smarter measure to stop the spread of Covid.  (Or even hourly cleaning of bathroom stalls).  How many Covid infections have really been spread by "outside food"?
    • “Congratulations Mr. O’Corn, I’m thrilled to hire you as my new GM. I’ve always had a real respect, I mean that most sincerely. Obviously we all want to win, I want to win a championship. And I know you want a long career in baseball. and you’d like to keep your kids in school here in Baltimore. Now tell me, should I give you $123 million to work with or $100 million? Which is going to give you a better shot at delivering me a World Series champion?”
    • A catcher can block the plate once he has possession of the ball. Just not before.  Here is the full text of Rule 7.13(2): Unless the catcher is in possession of the ball, the catcher cannot block the pathway of the runner as he is attempting to score.  If, in the judgment of the Umpire, the catcher without possession of the ball blocks the pathway of the runner, the Umpire shall call or signal the runner safe. Notwithstanding the above, it shall not be considered a violation of this Rule 7.13 if the catcher blocks the pathway of the runner in order to field a throw, and the Umpire determines that the catcher could not have fielded the ball without blocking the pathway of the runner and that contact with the runner was unavoidable.
    • Tony - I’m not a HIPAA lawyer, but you shouldn’t assume that because the O’s were authorized to disclose he had myocarditis that they are authorized to provide further details or updates.   Even within the organization, except on a need to know basis.    Still, I do find the situation weird and mysterious.  If I were Kjerstad, I’d want Oriole fans to know that I had a good reason for being out.    I hope he will be OK and gets on the field as soon as he can.    
    • MFYs have had numerous examples of big contracts gone bust (the "Fat Toad" comes to mind, LOL). No sweat; just move on to the next.
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...