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Frobby

Hays: my favorite current Oriole

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11 minutes ago, OrioleDog said:

Hays and Mullins both playing well could make an interesting DJ Stewart fork in the road when Santander gets back.    Does he deploy to the Jim Dwyer, (pinch hit and start once a week) role, or are regular AAA reps still valued for his development?

If Stewart hits Hyde will find a place to play him.  If  he does not hit  he probably become a backup player that mostly plays when someone else is injured. The only way Stewart goes to AAA is if he is not hitting and the O's need his spot of a player that is more deserving of the playing time in the majors.

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24 minutes ago, wildcard said:

If Stewart hits Hyde will find a place to play him.  If  he does not hit  he probably become a backup player that mostly plays when someone else is injured. The only way Stewart goes to AAA is if he is not hitting and the O's need his spot of a player that is more deserving of the playing time in the majors.

I don’t think Stewart will play much once Santander is back.   

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30 minutes ago, Frobby said:

I don’t think Stewart will play much once Santander is back.   

If Stewart has a 800 OPS when Santander returns I think  Hyde will form a rotation with Mullins, Hays, Santander, Mancini, Mountcastle, and Stewart so each get a day off every 5 days.  The question IMO  is can Stewart hit well enough to make that happen?  The 2nd question is can those 6 guys stay health?

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Whoever has the hot hand should play once Santander returns. His latest injury has me wondering about how well he'll hold up over an entire season. Then we have Diaz and McKenna knocking on the door in Triple A. 

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2 hours ago, OrioleDog said:

Hays and Mullins both playing well could make an interesting DJ Stewart fork in the road when Santander gets back.    Does he deploy to the Jim Dwyer, (pinch hit and start once a week) role, or are regular AAA reps still valued for his development?

I'm a fan of DJ, but he's 27 years old.  The time for him needing AAA reps to develop is over.  He needs to earn his time at this level at this point.

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2 hours ago, wildcard said:

If Stewart has a 800 OPS when Santander returns I think  Hyde will form a rotation with Mullins, Hays, Santander, Mancini, Mountcastle, and Stewart so each get a day off every 5 days.  The question IMO  is can Stewart hit well enough to make that happen?  The 2nd question is can those 6 guys stay health?

Well, I’m not holding my breath on Stewart posting an .800 OPS over the long term.  He’s at .581 right now, .726 for his career, .768 before this season started, .790 in the minors (and I usually expect a 30-50 point drop between major league and minor league performance).  Obviously he was able to post .809 last year in a 112 PA sample, and maybe some year he’d do that over a full season, but in general, I see him as more of a .760-.770 guy with a reasonably good OBP than an .800 guy.  I think his playing time is going to depend on whether Santander and Mountcastle start hitting.   But they will be given a lot of chances because they have more upside than Stewart.   

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18 minutes ago, Frobby said:

Well, I’m not holding my breath on Stewart posting an .800 OPS over the long term.  He’s at .581 right now, .726 for his career, .768 before this season started, .790 in the minors (and I usually expect a 30-50 point drop between major league and minor league performance).  Obviously he was able to post .809 last year in a 112 PA sample, and maybe some year he’d do that over a full season, but in general, I see him as more of a .760-.770 guy with a reasonably good OBP than an .800 guy.  I think his playing time is going to depend on whether Santander and Mountcastle start hitting.   But they will be given a lot of chances because they have more upside than Stewart.   

Mountcastle's batting .318 over his last 7 games (OPS of .833) ... and has a 5 game hitting streak.'

I'm optimistic

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Hays' May running great about halfway through - here is something I wouldn't have guessed.   He is 90th+ percentile this month among qualified MLB hitters swinging the least.    It's fueled him so far this month bumping up to join Mullins as a second Oriole with a plus chase rate.

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