Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
wildcard

O's need a better offense.

Recommended Posts

Pretty simple statement, right.    But with Hays coming off the IL, what does it mean?   To me it means "If you hit, you play."

That means players that are hitting don't sit at this point.   Maybe later when its hot or they are tired but not now.   So Mullins CF (928 OPS), Urias 2B (816 OPS)  Franco 3B (757 OPS),  Stewart LF/DH (756 OPS), Galvis SS (725 OPS) should play every  games, as long as they keep hitting.  

Hyde says he will use a rotation with Hays returning.  Who should be in the position player rotation?   My answer is those that normally hit well but are not hitting well now.  Mancini 1B/DH , Mountcastle 1B/DH, Santander RF and Hays OF should be in the rotation until they start hitting well.  That means they play 3 games out of every 4 games.

(Mountcastle looked good at 1B the passed few games.  He doesn't need to play LF with Hays and Stewart available.)

The leaves  Severino/Sisco sharing catcher where neither is hitting. And Ruiz who should be a bench player for now at 2B/3B.   

That is the way I would try to improve the offense.   When someone hits better they play more.  When the don't hit they sit more.   Seems simple to me.  

What is your take on who should be in Hyde's position player rotation?

  • Upvote 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Galvis will play just about every day regardless of how he is hitting. Who else are you going to give semi-regular playing time to at SS when his bat is cold?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, Beef Supreme said:

Galvis will play just about every day regardless of how he is hitting. Who else are you going to give semi-regular playing time to at SS when his bat is cold?

As the team is configured now, Urias is the backup at SS.   Probably very limited use there.  We may see Martin promoted sometime this summer if needed.   I consider Valaika a better backup SS than Urias.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

That all looks good, but it’s really about our best hitters all slumping simultaneously. Getting Hays back will help. I’m curious if the league is pitching Mountcastle/Santander differently or if they’re just in a short term rut. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, UMDTerrapins said:

That all looks good, but it’s really about our best hitters all slumping simultaneously. Getting Hays back will help. I’m curious if the league is pitching Mountcastle/Santander differently or if they’re just in a short term rut. 

My guess its both.   Hyde has been saying that the league would adjust to Mountcastle and he has to adjust back.  Same is probably true for Santander who is not going to see many fastballs in the strike zone and will probably walk more from not seeing pitches to hit.  Mancini is just trying to find his stroke and putting too much pressure on himself in the process.   They are all good hitters and will probably adjust their game.

How long that takes is anyone's guess.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

They need better everything.

The offense will be fine when Mountcastle, Santander and Mancini are hitting..it will suck when they don’t.

Any offense they get from C, 2nd and SS is a bonus and we will wait to see if you can say the same thing about Mullins.

Its  all about the corner spots and DH.  If they hit, we are fine..if they don’t, they will suck.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Seems like offense is down all around. The Cubs are hitting .192 as a team. Last year the #15 team hit .245/.743, vs this year .235/.692. Could be getting rid of the juiced ball? The O's are lower-middle of the pack but not the worst, 19th in AVG, 20th in R (admittedly 28th in OPS and 22nd in HR). 

I don't see much to do other than get Hays back and see if Mancini, Mountcastle, and Santander get hot. Probably going to be a while before we call up Bannon. I doubt he is the answer anyway. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Aristotelian said:

Seems like offense is down all around. The Cubs are hitting .192 as a team. Last year the #15 team hit .245/.743, vs this year .235/.692. Could be getting rid of the juiced ball? The O's are lower-middle of the pack but not the worst, 19th in AVG, 20th in R (admittedly 28th in OPS and 22nd in HR). 

I don't see much to do other than get Hays back and see if Mancini, Mountcastle, and Santander get hot. Probably going to be a while before we call up Bannon. I doubt he is the answer anyway. 

This year HR's are at 1.2 per team, last year 1.3 and 2019, 1.4. So there's still lots of time for warmer weather to make an impact. So that number will likely rise in the coming months. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
40 minutes ago, Aristotelian said:

Seems like offense is down all around. The Cubs are hitting .192 as a team. Last year the #15 team hit .245/.743, vs this year .235/.692. Could be getting rid of the juiced ball? The O's are lower-middle of the pack but not the worst, 19th in AVG, 20th in R (admittedly 28th in OPS and 22nd in HR). 

I don't see much to do other than get Hays back and see if Mancini, Mountcastle, and Santander get hot. Probably going to be a while before we call up Bannon. I doubt he is the answer anyway. 

But do they play Mancini, Mountcastle, Hays and Santander every game?   Does that mean they sit Stewart who is hitting fairly well?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yes, they need a better offense.  And better pitching.   And a better defense.    

They are currently averaging 4.00 runs per game, 11th in the AL.  They are allowing 4.31 runs per game, 9th in the AL.   

If you go back a season, the O’s averaged 4.57 runs/game, 8th in the AL, and allowed 4.90 runs/game, 9th in the AL.    As a whole, the AL scored 4.58 runs a game last year, compared to 4.33 this year.    That may be the result of deadening the ball, or it could be April SSS stuff.  

Just on a quick look at our team, 
we have five regulars OPSing .636 or less, including our middle of the lineup guys in Mancini, Santander and Mountcastle.   I do not expect that to continue, so eventually I think the lineup will hit better without doubt any major surgery to  it.    But make no mistake, it’s a below average offense.   

 

  • Upvote 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, wildcard said:

But do they play Mancini, Mountcastle, Hays and Santander every game?   Does that mean they sit Stewart who is hitting fairly well.

Good point. Before I would have thought Mullins would be the odd man out but he is the only one of them who is hitting! Anyway, wait and see if we can actually get them all healthy.

If that problem actually arises, I can't see benching any of the above for DJ any time soon but he will get plenty of AB's as pinch hitter and next man up for the inevitable injury. 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
24 minutes ago, wildcard said:

But do they play Mancini, Mountcastle, Hays and Santander every game?   Does that mean they sit Stewart who is hitting fairly well.

I think those five as well as Mullins will rotate between the three outfield spots, 1B and DH.  That's six guys for five spots so good playing time for everyone still.

Hays will rotate between all three outfield spots spelling Stewart, Mullins and Santander. Mountcastle will split 1B and DH duties with Mancini with Stewart also seeing occasional time there. 

Mountcastle will get a long leash, but if he's still not hitting by the time the AAA season starts, he could be optioned. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Stewart is hitting well and I think he can continue to hit close to this level, but it’s no secret that Hays and Santander have higher ceilings so should be playing more.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I have some good news and some bad news.  See if you can spot it.  Yes we could use a better offense.  Along with every other facet of an MLB team.

Worst 5 MLB team offenses by OPS:

26. Brewers - .650

27. Tigers - .647

28. Orioles - .643

29. Rangers - .642

30. Yankees - .642

 

Also kinda noteworthy that the Rockies are 25th despite playing a bunch of games up in the mountains.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Aglets said:

I have some good news and some bad news.  See if you can spot it.  Yes we could use a better offense.  Along with every other facet of an MLB team.

Worst 5 MLB team offenses by OPS:

26. Brewers - .650

27. Tigers - .647

28. Orioles - .643

29. Rangers - .642

30. Yankees - .642

 

Also kinda noteworthy that the Rockies are 25th despite playing a bunch of games up in the mountains.

Ha ha! The Yankees are last??? Love it.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this  

Orioles Information


Orioles News and Information

Daily Organizational Boxscores
News

Tony's Takes

Orioles Roster Resource

Orioles Prospect Information

2021 Minor League Depth Chart

2021 Prospect Power Rankings

2020 Top 30 Prospects List

Prospect Scouting Reports

Statistics

2020 Orioles Stats

2019 Orioles Minor League Stats

Baseball Savant Stats






  • Posts

    • Yea I've been to two games this season, the win on Sunday (awesome game) and a loss a couple weeks back. During the first game the mask requirement was very strict. They had people walking around telling you to mask up in your seats if you weren't eating or drinking. This Sunday no one seemed to care. Some people had them on, some didn't, but I didn't see any ushers telling people to put them on in their seats. I suppose with the new CDC guidelines they may have opted for a more "we recommend it but don't require it" approach. I'm fully vaccinated and still wore my mask when walking around the stadium, but I was happy to take it off for the entire time I was in my seat this time around.   And I think one thing we can all agree on, Nats Park kinda sucks. Hope you have fun though, @RVAOsFan!
    • Was hoping this would happen by the end of the year. Hopefully he keeps up his hot start. If neither he nor Kjerstad drop off (certainly no sure thing), we could have 6 top 100 guys in the off-season lists (adding the 2021 #5 pick). Kjerstad seems more likely to drop off than Henderson in my opinion, I can't imagine they go far enough underslot for the #5 pick to not crack the top 100. Less than a 5 percent chance that Adley graduates and a 1 percent chance that DL Hall graduates in my opinion.
    • I’m still expecting offensive improvement over the remainder of the season but I must admit that the offense is worse than I thought it would be.     Mullins is far exceeding expectations but no one else is and a lot of players are below expectations.  Getting Santander back will be helpful, if he can start hitting and Mountcastle returning to form would be a huge boost. Just gotta wonder if we see improvement from C, 3rd and 2nd and if/when Mullins declines, how far is the drop?
    • Well, like I said, someone can go to Bowie. Between Henderson, Ortiz or Westburg, we can have someone in AA.  You can argue that either or all of them could be there imo. But generally speaking, you are correct. To me, it’s more important for Henderson and Westburg to play as much at SS as they can.  We need to figure out if those guys can stay there.  You should have some very solid idea by the end of the year...and perhaps, they already know but just in case you they don’t, you should be using this year to be sure. You know guys like Ortiz and Servideo can play SS, at least from the info we have heard.  If they have to play second base or the OF some this year while you figure out Henderson and Westburg, so be it.
    • My mental image of the 1960s is that it was a lot of low scoring pitchers duels with a lot of little shortstops bunting and stealing bases.  But the stealing bases part is all wrong.  In 1966 the Orioles had the best offense in the league and stole 55 bases all year, caught 41 times. The only teams to steal 100 bases were the White Sox and A's, and both of them were within 0.02 runs of being the worst offenses in the AL. In '66 the average AL team stole four fewer bases than the average AL team in 2019. In 1964 the Orioles were 4th in the majors in steals, but Luis Aparicio was the only player on the team with more than four.  Luis led the AL in steals nine straight years, but those included totals of 21, 28, 29, 31, and 40.
    • Can’t really argue with any of these on their own merits, but you do then face the question of how you reallocate the playing time to account for these changes.   For example, Joey Ortiz is hitting .295/.404/.458 at Aberdeen.   Good, but not necessarily promotion material at this early stage.    So what do you do with his playing time if Henderson and Westburg are suddenly both in Aberdeen as well?     Adam Hall is off to a slow start there, but are you going to demote him when he already played a full, successful season at Delmarva in 2019?     These are tricky decisions.   I can’t disagree with the idea that you look at the players who are most likely to be successful major leaguers, and when they are ready to move up a level, you move them up regardless of who else that affects.   But, it does make things more complicated when you’ve got other decent prospects who are going to lose playing time if a promotion is made.   
    • “Single-A Delmarva infielder Gunnar Henderson was named Low-A East League Player of the Week after going 10-for-23 (.435) with four doubles, a home run, 13 RBIs and seven runs scored.” https://www.masnsports.com/school-of-roch/2021/05/diaz-going-on-injured-list-santander-completes-assignment.html
  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...