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Adley Rutschman 2021

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14 minutes ago, DirtyBird said:

Is it just me, or do his best games at the plate come in blowout wins?

Are numbers his being inflated by performances against bad pitchers that everybody is hitting?

Don’t know.  One of the homers was off a knuckleball.  

Probably a lot of players have their best days in blowouts.   That’s why they’re blowouts.   
 

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16 minutes ago, DirtyBird said:

Is it just me, or do his best games at the plate come in blowout wins?

Are numbers his being inflated by performances against bad pitchers that everybody is hitting?

Not everybody is hitting two home runs, one from each side of the plate, as well as another 105+ mph xbh regardless of who was pitching. I gotta say I'm sort of dumbfounded as to why people are so nitpicky about Adley's performance. AA is not a particularly easy place to hit and he's been pretty darn consistent except for one week which came directly after he traveled across the country to catch an all star game. I was surprised the O's had him catch the very first game after that but I suppose it tracks with how much they've challenged him this year. Most scouts seem to have a higher opinion of Adley after their looks this year which doesn't seem to track with how this board is discussing his season for whatever reason. 

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1 minute ago, LTO's said:

Not everybody is hitting two home runs, one from each side of the plate, as well as another 105+ mph xbh regardless of who was pitching. I gotta say I'm sort of dumbfounded as to why people are so nitpicky about Adley's performance. AA is not a particularly easy place to hit and he's been pretty darn consistent except for one week which came directly after he traveled across the country to catch an all star game. I was surprised the O's had him catch the very first game after that but I suppose it tracks with how much they've challenged him this year. Most scouts seem to have a higher opinion of Adley after their looks this year which doesn't seem to track with how this board is discussing his season for whatever reason. 

I think people are still feeling burned over Switch Hitting Jesus, or Mauer with Power. However you want to nickname Wieters. Logically it doesn’t make sense, but some folks are waiting for the other shoe to drop, just like when they realized Wieters wasn’t going to be a .900 OPS catcher. 

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1 hour ago, waroriole said:

I think people are still feeling burned over Switch Hitting Jesus, or Mauer with Power. However you want to nickname Wieters. Logically it doesn’t make sense, but some folks are waiting for the other shoe to drop, just like when they realized Wieters wasn’t going to be a .900 OPS catcher. 

Wieters bat always seemed slow, so it didn't take me long to come to the realization that he was never going to be a plus hitter, but a catcher who might hit a little better than a typical catcher while being a plus defender.  

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4 hours ago, LTO's said:

Not everybody is hitting two home runs, one from each side of the plate, as well as another 105+ mph xbh regardless of who was pitching. I gotta say I'm sort of dumbfounded as to why people are so nitpicky about Adley's performance. AA is not a particularly easy place to hit and he's been pretty darn consistent except for one week which came directly after he traveled across the country to catch an all star game. I was surprised the O's had him catch the very first game after that but I suppose it tracks with how much they've challenged him this year. Most scouts seem to have a higher opinion of Adley after their looks this year which doesn't seem to track with how this board is discussing his season for whatever reason. 

I don't think most people think he won't be very good. I just see a number like 70, comps to Guerrero and Tatis and Acuna, and don't see it. 

Now if you, or fangraphs, is saying that it's total value, and that his defense and positional adjustments are a larger proportion of that value than it is for the other 3, I guess I can understand it a bit. However, when I think of those guys, I think primarily of guys who rake. I love the plate discipline and power, but I just don't think he'll rake like them. I sure hope he does, but I don't personally think he will.

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29 minutes ago, LookinUp said:

I don't think most people think he won't be very good. I just see a number like 70, comps to Guerrero and Tatis and Acuna, and don't see it. 

Now if you, or fangraphs, is saying that it's total value, and that his defense and positional adjustments are a larger proportion of that value than it is for the other 3, I guess I can understand it a bit. However, when I think of those guys, I think primarily of guys who rake. I love the plate discipline and power, but I just don't think he'll rake like them. I sure hope he does, but I don't personally think he will.

Thats because AR was batting .269 in AA before his big game last night.

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Just now, jabba72 said:

Thats because AR was batting .269 in AA before his big game last night.

Today's game is about OBP and power, not batting average.

Not like he's striking out a ton.  I haven't looked at his BABIP but I'm betting it's low.

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