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DocJJ

2022 early look top prospects

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or Brady Aiken (2014), or Micky Moniak (2016), or Royce Lewis (2017). Or Bryce Harper/Carlos Correa.

There are good and bad, but seems to be a fairly high bust rate depending on how far to go back. But sure, if you're lucky to see a generational talent like Griffey/Harper, by all means, go for it. In the absence of that, it seems like having the extra experience/data on a college player is advisable.

And if that's true at #1, it would seem to translate to #2, #5, etc., where there needs to be a somewhat significant talent delta between the less experienced high school option and the more tested college option, with the tradeoff being upside versus probability of success.

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On 7/20/2021 at 11:35 AM, Moose Milligan said:

I don’t think we are gonna get the #1 pick. Diamondbacks seem to be on some next level losing that we can’t even comprehend. 
 

There’s so much time between now and then, hard to speculate who will be there for us when we pick second or third. 

 

Arizona has won four in a row.  Hope they keep it up!

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On 7/20/2021 at 11:35 AM, Moose Milligan said:

I don’t think we are gonna get the #1 pick. Diamondbacks seem to be on some next level losing that we can’t even comprehend. 

Diamondbacks are currently on a pace to lose 112, while the Orioles are at 109. With 60+ games left in the schedule that’s almost a toss up. Things get interesting when you look at the two teams’ opponents the rest of the way. A quick check of the remaining schedule shows the O’s with 6-8 more games against winning teams than AZ. I’m betting we finish 2021 with the worst record in MLB. 

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8 minutes ago, ShoelesJoe said:

Diamondbacks are currently on a pace to lose 112, while the Orioles are at 109. With 60+ games left in the schedule that’s almost a toss up. Things get interesting when you look at the two teams’ opponents the rest of the way. A quick check of the remaining schedule shows the O’s with 6-8 more games against winning teams than AZ. I’m betting we finish 2021 with the worst record in MLB. 

The D-backs win, the D-backs win!!! 
 

One step closer....

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35 minutes ago, ShoelesJoe said:

Diamondbacks are currently on a pace to lose 112, while the Orioles are at 109. With 60+ games left in the schedule that’s almost a toss up. Things get interesting when you look at the two teams’ opponents the rest of the way. A quick check of the remaining schedule shows the O’s with 6-8 more games against winning teams than AZ. I’m betting we finish 2021 with the worst record in MLB. 

The thing about this "be the worst for first (pick)" strategy that is concerning (if we are buying into the strategy, which I guess at this point you gotta root for something) is that for this current iteration of the Orioles, we already have pretty much the worst team we can field. The Diamondbacks have players that other teams are going to be interested in trading for and they're going to trade them, so they are going to get worse. If we're not trading Mullins, we're pretty much going to keep playing the way we are I'd imagine (Also not advocating for trading Mullins). I guess you could trade Fry, Sulser, and T. Scott, but it's not like they're all that reliable anyways, but it'd make our already volatile, overworked bullpen worse. And given the pedigree of our starters, Valaika might need to become a full time 'pen arm. 

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