Yea, I tend to think something in the 9-12 range is realistic.
The thing is, you would expect that most of that comes in the next 2 seasons, one of which we won’t be contenders and another one where it’s up in the air.
In 2024, do you want to pay him good money to likely be playing a below average CF or a CO spot where he has no arm? I think the answer to that is no…thus why trading him now makes sense if teams are valuing him as I mentioned. If not, you hope for another good year in 2022 and trade him in July or after the season.
I was at MLB trade rumors, and there were already 3-4 Articles about this team or the team out-righting players or designating players, And once the season ends, there’s no distinction between leagues, and the Orioles get first crack at everybody so I’m sure we’re going to get some upgrades.
Under. From 2016-19, only 12 outfielders had 14 fWAR. I don’t see Mullins at that level. If he was at 10+ he’d still be in the top 21 in that group. (I used 2016-19 to avoid the partial 2020 season. If you made it 11.5 for 2017-21 it would still be only 12 names.)
@Can_of_corn posted this article in another forum, but this article on the experience in the Atlantic League and certain minor leagues should be read by anyone advocating for an electronic strike zone. It’s not as simple a situation as you think. https://www.theringer.com/mlb/2021/10/21/22736400/experimental-rules-atlantic-league-robo-umps