I don't necessarily disagree with this. I guess I'm just saying that you really want to build arm strength and resilience over time. If he's a starter, he'd almost always have to be on a short leash. On the other hand, at least he'd be on a predictable schedule and given regular rest, which may not be possible in a bullpen role.
I'm just saying his health needs to be nurtured and they should pick the best role for that.
I doubt Elias would have taken Cowser #5 if he didn't believe he would develop into a 25 homer guy. I don't think 150 PA in the low minors changes that. If a swing adjustment is required to reach his power I expect they will work on that. I think Cowser starts at Aberdeen next spring.
They should have taken Lawlar..although I say that and don’t know what the medicals were on him. It’s hard for me to believe that the labrum wasn’t a known issue and maybe the physicals were questioning his long term prognosis as a hitter, especially Power, with the injury. If so, I can see going away from him.
While Markakis only had a couple of 20+ HR years, he was a doubles machine and that was valuable. Plus his command of the strike zone really made the pitcher work in the first inning countless times. We really missed that approach when he left.
I do like the Nimmo comp too. Guy had a 132 OPS+ last year. Markakis only had one year above that.
All of this is to say that Markakis seems like a great comp to me, but not a ceiling. Either way, the lower risk profile combined with his projections makes for a very nice #4 prospect.
Is that what you want out of the #5 overall pick? Now that's a different question.