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The Center Field Market, 2022

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5 hours ago, OriolesMagic83 said:

How far is Bellinger from free agency?  It would be nice to get him to sign to an extension, but I don't see a reason for him to do so.  If he even partially rebounds, he would want a $100 mill deal. 

2 more years before free agency.  

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48 minutes ago, tntoriole said:

So trade our best performing position player in order to get prospects that don’t usually pan out… i.e Machado deal 

Pass 

Well Machado should’ve been dealt the offseason before but somehow we were still going for it with a team that actually won 47 games. The only thing bad I could say about what DD did in the Machado trade, is that he should’ve gotten more A ball players versus trying to get players that were closer to being ready. However, The Dodgers had just spent $50+ million on Diaz, Pop was 20, and Kremer was leading all of milb in SO. 

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21 hours ago, tntoriole said:

So trade our best performing position player in order to get prospects that don’t usually pan out… i.e Machado deal 

Pass 

They are not comparable situations. Machado had two months before FA.Mullins has what three years? Even if he regressed 10% he will still be an outstanding player, he can do everything except throw, and his arm is plenty accurate, it’s just not powerful. That’s a guy anybody would want to have. I would be furious if we did it, but I’d be really interested in what the Yankees would give up to have a guy like him in the lineup

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On 10/19/2021 at 3:40 PM, tntoriole said:

So trade our best performing position player in order to get prospects that don’t usually pan out… i.e Machado deal 

Pass 

Am I the only one who thinks Mullins is due to regress?

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7 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:

I think everyone expects him to regress, they question is by how much.

Hmm, not so sure. I think there’s a fair amount of expectations that his regular production is approaching this past season. I’m nowhere near as optimistic. It’s why I’d be in favor of moving him.

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1 hour ago, Sports Guy said:

I would bet on an OPS closer to 800 than 900.

Before this season I would have considered a .750 OPS year a good season for Mullins. I don’t think he is going to be a consistent 30 home run hitter, but Mullins hitting closer to an .800 OPS is still a very good player. 

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17 hours ago, Sports Guy said:

I would bet on an OPS closer to 800 than 900.

Sure.  Over the final 81 games he had an .811 OPS.   I’d be fine with that, happy in fact.  In terms of trade value, I’m sure other teams are expecting regression.   

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1 minute ago, Frobby said:

Sure.  Over the final 81 games he had an .811 OPS.   I’d be fine with that, happy in fact.  In terms of trade value, I’m sure other teams are expecting regression.   

Right…if he has anything over 780, I think that’s a win for now.  I do think his defense is average-ish, so he may need to be above 800 long term to really carry good value.

I think it’s tough to move him but if someone is valuing him as a 3.5-4 WAR guy who has a lot of service time and cheap years left(thus increasing his value over a normal 3.5-4 WAR guy), I’d likely be inclined to trade him.  

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Mullins has 4 years of service time left.  He was worth 5.7 bWAR and 5.3 fWAR (whichever site you want to use) this year.

He just turned 27.  We have him through age 30.

if I were to set his WAR at 14 for the next 4 years, are you taking the over or under?

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