ChosenOne21
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Posts posted by ChosenOne21
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Plutko hit 93? I thought he was a soft tosser
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Well, at least we won't have to worry about passed balls with how sticky his hands are
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Sadly, not an April Fools joke unless MLB.com is in on it
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This whole thing is one guy's opinion. Why wouldn't Elias want to sign the best minor-league free agents? Maybe they didn't want to come here, or maybe he sees something in some less well-known guys that he thinks he can fix. People can disagree without it being "embarrassing," jeez, NL scouting guy
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Agreed. They don't need to be world-beaters next year, but if they aren't showing signs of life I'm going to start becoming concerned
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48 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:
Plutko isn’t exactly “young” in baseball years.
He's 29 and Lakins is 26. Yeah, he's a bit older than I thought but that's not enough to change my mind
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10 hours ago, Pushmonkey said:
Would you rather have him or larkins?
10 hours ago, Sports Guy said:Probably Lakins but my real answer is neither.
This is probably Elias saying I don’t want to run out my young guys all year (ie, he shuts guys down), he wants guys like this to finish out the season.
Dunno. Assuming track records hold, Plutko is a replacement level starting pitcher and Lakins Sr. is an average relief pitcher. Both are young and controlled for several years. IMO, people who can be starting pitchers (even at "replacement" level) are harder to find than average-ish relievers. Also, if Elias feels there's more to be unlocked with Plutko and Lakins Sr. is what he is, that's worth something, too.
It's close, but I'd probably go with Plutko. Pretty good chance he's Lakins Sr. if you converted him to a one-inning reliever anyway
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I wouldn't necessarily hate him as minor league depth, but I wouldn't give him a Major League deal
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7 hours ago, Sports Guy said:
He’s nothing more than a role player either way but he can be a valuable guy making no money for a while.
What do you mean either way? I'm pretty sure if he hit fastballs at a league average rate and played average defense while keeping his barrel% and walk rate where they are, he'd be a lot more than a role-player
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Didn't realize he was barreling the ball that well and walking that much, but if he's struggling that hard with the fastball and can't play good defense, he's a role-player at best
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I really hope Valaika isn't the better defensive SS. He was putrid there last year
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2 hours ago, Tony-OH said:
Laterally towards 3B. The analytics show he goes well to his glove side, in and back just not to towards the bag. It's a new way of breaking down each infielder.
BTW, the reason you do this is the off chance Franco does really well and can be flipped. We know Ruiz is not going to be flipped for anything.Ruiz isn't a good defender, right? But he moves well in three out of four directions. Is moving toward the bag more important than the other directions? Is it is arm or hands that makes him subpar, or what?
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3B of the future is probably Henderson or Westberg. We just need to keep the position warm until they're ready
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44 minutes ago, OrioleDog said:
Of course he'll also be entering a young clubhouse and not one with Age-32 Aubrey Huff and many other thirtysomethings.
Sounds like we had a horse**** clubhouse back then
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Hmmm, those systems were closer to reality than I remember them being.
I think what I meant to say is that the systems have a hard time accounting for player breakthroughs. If a guy has a couple years of like .730 OPS, then something clicks and he puts up an .880, the projection systems are much more likely to put his projected OPS closer to the .730 than the .880, even if the breakthrough is real and he's likely to put up OPS in the high 800s going forward. Basically, the system is more likely to write off the performance as a fluke than being representative of the player's true talent. Sure, players put up fluky seasons all the time, but they also have breakthroughs.
Look at Santander. The projection systems believe last year was a fluke. Maybe they're right, I guess we'll see -
11 hours ago, Frobby said:
Just for a little context here, the Orioles' team OPS was .725 in 2019 and .750 last year. So, these systems are projecting a step back.
Don't these systems always tend to be conservative by nature? Predicting players to be worse than they end up being more likely than not?
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Wow, Marcel loves Jahmai Jones and ZIPS loves Valaika
These seem low on Mountcastle, and i have a feeling if Rutschman is playing well enough to make the majors he'll hit better than those projections. I think there's a pretty good chance Hays outperforms these projections as well.
Rest seems fairly reasonable -
Yeah, Brian Matusz is basically the median outcome for a #4 pick. Definitely less than we hoped he'd be, but he had a major league career most prospects would kill for
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Gausman adding a change-up? Doesn't he already have two?
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Isn't Goudeau that guy we claimed from the Pirates who looked like he might have figured something out in recent years despite being 28? I'm not saying he's going to hold down a spot in our rotation, but I don't mind seeing what he can do. Probably has more potential than some of the guys in camp
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As has been said in the other thread, catchers tend to drop off after 30, and if we bring him up this year we control him through his age 30 season. So if he's tearing up AA and looks like he's ready to be an above average major leaguer, I have no problem with promoting him this season. But definitely after the cutoff point for an extra year of control
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Would love him as minor league depth, but our outfield is pretty crowded. He'll probably sign with someone who will give him a better chance to start
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1 minute ago, Can_of_corn said:
Sure would make trading Severino easier.
The main issue I had with the trade is that Pearce was hurt and I believe the O's knew he was hurt. The Rays used him almost exclusively as a DH and never in the outfield. The O's put him into the outfield and he's on the IL almost immediately.
Oh, it was a pointless, bad trade for sure. Just saying, guys like Jonah Heim aren't that hard to find so I don't see what the big deal is in hindsight
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4-3 vs the Hated Bosox!
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Cesar Valdez = Don Stanhouse?