Kimbrel hasn’t looked right all year. He’s been wild in the zone and his fastball is down 1.9 Mph on the season with his usage at a career high.
If you look at his statcast usage visual graph, you’ll see why. His curve is all over the place and even when he located it low & outside of the zone (where it should be) it’s getting hit hard. Couple that with a fastball that has no command and is 1.9 ticks lower than last year and you have yourself a disaster that’s been waiting to expose itself all year.