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Posts posted by waroriole
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2025
in Orioles Talk
12 hours ago, Moose Milligan said:I’m not even thinking about next year when we’re battling for 1st against the Yankees this year and are a playoff contender. 2025 can wait.
Ok cool. Thinking isn’t for everyone but most of us are able to look at next year since nothing we think or talk about will have an impact on any game.
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11 hours ago, Roy Firestone said:
Mountcastle just went on the IL...I bet the Orioles DONT promote Mayo...we had TWO freaking hits last night. How much worse does it have to get?
Mayo doesn’t even have two hits in his career. How about we think rationally if we want to see improved offense.
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He’s not Woodruff. Why would we sign him for next year just to pitch in 2026?
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2025
in Orioles Talk
We’ll lose Burnes and Santander. I expect little additions to key positions (SP, RP, RH OF) and more of the same in not extending players and not making strong efforts in FA.
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2 hours ago, Moose Milligan said:
Does anyone think for a minute that this is a fair representation of what the offense actually is?
It’s a bit exaggerated but this is what this offense has been for 2+ months. Boom or bust. It’s like watching Duquette teams again.
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15 hours ago, DrinkinWithFermi said:
If you exclude his 2022 outlier season, Mateo has been worth a combined 1.7 rWAR/1.6 fWAR for his entire career, and $2.7 million is what he is making in 2024. That number will go up in 2025.
That sure sounds like a non-tender candidate to me.
You also seem to have missed the part of my post about his recovery time and prognosis factoring into the final decision. If he is going to be out recovering from major elbow surgery until June or July, then we could probably invest the $3.5 million or so that he will make next year on someone who will provide more than like 0.4 WAR to the 2025 team.
Why do people do this nonsense of “if you take away the times he was really good, he’s not very good?”
It’s either Mateo or Urias back next year in the UTIL role. A 4M price for Mateo is a bit much, but I don’t see a lot of spending coming in other areas. I could see them bringing Mateo back next year, assuming he’s healthy.
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7 hours ago, bpilktree67 said:
They have faced 5 lefties in the 7 games. They are without Westburg and Mateo both who are right handed and very good vs left handers so they are having to play 2 of the three of Holiday O’Hearn or Mullins or they have to play a waiver pickup. If they are gonna score on lefties then Mountcastle Rutchsman and Jimenez have to carry the offense and none has done much over that span and Mountcastle has been out the last two games. It takes Mullins and O’Hearn out of the lineup and then Cowser, Holiday and Henderson have to hit left on left. It is no surprise both big hits came when a right hander was on the mound imo.
Holy cow the excuses never stop. Oh no they have to play 2 lefties against LHP. Their 1B with a sub .750 OPS is out. How can they overcome such odds. The offense sucks and it’s not limited to LH on LH ABs.
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21 minutes ago, Birdland in NC said:
Aaron Judge 32 years old
Shohei Ohtani 30 years old.
So they are done, right? Wall, right?Why would you compare him to two sure fire Hall of Famers?
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2 hours ago, OsFanSinceThe80s said:
The risk with paying Santander is his new contract value being based on him having a career year power wise. Do we think Santander is more likely to repeat this year's performance or will he be more like his 2022-23 version? Odds are this is Santander's career year and while he'll be decent next season don't expect this level of production to be the norm going forward.
The idea of signing Santander to a big contract reminds me of what happened with Trumbo after leading the league in home runs in 2016. While I think Santander is likely to play better players like him tend to hit the wall fast. Also Santander isn't a very good defensive player. He's not a butcher like Trumbo, but his range his limited and that will only decline with age.
Maybe a three year deal, but I think you take the comp pick for him and invest that money in pitching and contract extensions for the younger Orioles.
I generally agree with not paying Santander and investing in pitching and extensions. But, the specifics get in the way a little. Which FA SP do you sign? Burnes who’s wilted down the stretch, has a seriously declining K rate, and will be the most sought after SP on the market? The other big name SP, Fried? Bigger injury risk there and similar K rate, while older. The mid range SP like Kikuchi or Flaherty? There’s not good options on the market for FA SP.
For extensions, if Gunnar will sign something reasonable then do it yesterday. Is there any other young guy you’d sign to an extension right now? Maybe Holliday?
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You don’t sign RP who enter FA. That’s just a bad way to hamstring a team’s payroll. We have enough coming back next year that you just augment with lottery tickets. Spending on SP is a better way to help the bullpen.
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2 hours ago, Can_of_corn said:
It still might be.
As far as regular season goes it’s hard to win more than 101.
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36 minutes ago, webbrick2010 said:
Yeah, maybe a top 20 team
Even a team like the Tigers with their young pitching studs has passed the Orioles
It's all about pitching, and Mike Elias ignores pitching
Time for a GM change Baltimore
This is an even dumber comment than saying we’re Top 5.
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42 minutes ago, foxfield said:
Are they playing the best now? Of course not. But their record is one of the 5 best and has been for 2 years....not 2 months.
That is not an opinion, it is a clear and precise statement of fact. It also goes without saying that past performance does not guarantee future results.
And yes what we are seeing currently is more than a little bit short of that bar. The question is, what are we going to get from here? I am in no way being blind to the reality of what we are seeing, but my magic 8 ball is not as definitive that the season is over.
I’m not talking about their record. You didn’t even mention their record. If you think this is a Top 5 baseball team right now, you’re delusional.
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35 minutes ago, foxfield said:
No it doesn’t and that’s a very fair point.
But for a franchise that has basically sucked for 40 years it feels a little disappointing to have a fan base that rolls over in the face of adversity while still being one of the best 5 teams in baseball.
But perhaps we have reached the moment as a team. Mike Tyson said everyone has a plan until they are punched in the mouth. At a game and a half back we are about 5 days from feeling like we’re in a bottomless pit or we are getting up off the canvas.
Will the Orioles get back up? I certainly hope they do. I’m standing by them. I say they do.
How anyone could say with a straight face that this is one of the 5 best teams in baseball is mind blowing. This record is built on the first 73 games. They’ve blown it up since.
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It would be stupid to do anything in season but I’d be in favor of finding someone else after this season. I get there are injuries but my rationale is mostly based on the puzzling moves he makes and the lack of fire down the stretch. That said, if he comes back it’s not the end of the world.
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Buck would’ve challenged that for sure.
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1 hour ago, eddie83 said:
I wonder about the youth of the team. Not that they weren’t young last year. Maybe higher expectations? Who knows.
Oh no this is gonna make Elias bring in another Odor or Frazier isn’t it?
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2 minutes ago, Sports Guy said:
Why? He’s not good.
I guess this is because of Akin and wanting the extra lefty?
Then he’ll fit right in on this pitching staff.
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3 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:
Before or after taking pitches?
Nothing more old school than bunting with two strikes.
You gotta take a couple of pitches first right. Pretty selfish to not let the guy on deck see what’s coming. There’s no other way for a hitter to know what’s coming without sitting in the on deck circle.
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13 minutes ago, Can_of_corn said:
Should they be taking pitches or putting the ball into play early in the counts?
I thought bunt to move the runners over.
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5 hours ago, OriolesMagic83 said:
Just like Ripkin and Wieters, there grateness compels us to spel they're names wright,
You spelled Wieters correctly….
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8 hours ago, spiritof66 said:
Got the triple because Soto tried for the catch on a fly in the gap, and ball got by him and rolled to the wall.
That’s a very generous description of what Soto did in RF.
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9 hours ago, Can_of_corn said:
I'm wasn't trying to gotcha it was just odd.
I don't think he's doing nearly poorly enough to warrant being singled out.
He is who he is, a pretty average ML 1B.
You say average, I say mediocre. Honest question, is a wRC+ of 108 average for a 1B?
Ryan Mountcastle 2024
in Orioles Talk
Posted
If you wanna get the offense going, you call up a guy with one career hit. Just common sense.