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Everything posted by Spl51
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Are people actually deluded enough to think Davis is anything but a complete waste of a roster spot who's going to inevitably be worth negative WAR? I'm not mad about it at this point, since there's no reason to get rid of him yet. I've accepted it.
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Early 2021 Top Draft Prospects
Spl51 replied to hoosiers's topic in O's Amateur Draft and International Signings
Every time I watch Leiter, he looks like 1.1 to me over Rocker, but then I consider that he's 6' and mostly sits 89-92 and I get scared. No one seems to be able to get good contact on him even at that speed, obviously his spin metrics and extension must be elite. -
Where do Kjerstad/Westburg fit on the 2023/24 team
Spl51 replied to wildcard's topic in Orioles Talk
HAHA I guess this conversation is done because you can't even read. You seem truly obsessed with this decision based on the amount of time and energy you have spent writing about this. -
Where do Kjerstad/Westburg fit on the 2023/24 team
Spl51 replied to wildcard's topic in Orioles Talk
It's crazy how you act like him being underslotted is breaking news. Picture this scenario: Torkelson is tier one on their board, then they have Martin, Gonzales, Lacy, and Kjerstad as virtual ties in the next tier. One or two could be very slightly higher or lower due to organizational need. If one of those players gives a lower price that means you can get extra value later on in the draft. This is not rocket science, it's all about value. You saying he likely was 7 or lower is pure speculation and really doesn't make sense. -
Where do Kjerstad/Westburg fit on the 2023/24 team
Spl51 replied to wildcard's topic in Orioles Talk
Damn, I guess they should just take whoever averages out to be 2nd over all the public boards. Why even scout the players? I'm sure Kjerstad was 7th on THEIR board like you are saying. -
Where do Kjerstad/Westburg fit on the 2023/24 team
Spl51 replied to wildcard's topic in Orioles Talk
https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2020-mlb-draft/summary?sort=-1,1&type=0&team= He was 7th on fangraphs, in the same 50 fv tier as everyone in the top 7 but Torkelson. -
2020 Orioles draft review: Elias ends up with three first round talents
Spl51 replied to Tony-OH's topic in Orioles Talk
https://www.prospectslive.com/mlb-draft/2020/6/15/prospects-live-in-depth-mlb-draft-grades Interesting. -
Kjerstad has much better plate discipline, better hit tool, better power, and better arm. Agree with you the other comparisons.
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FWIW: My thoughts on the O's draft
Spl51 replied to Greg Pappas's topic in O's Amateur Draft and International Signings
Man do I really not understand why Keith Law's opinion carries such weight with people. -
Kjerstad Lowther for sure has way more of a chance to provide value, but personally I'm an upside guy and I would rather have Baumler. This is who I'd rather have, not a ranking. Gunnar right now This one is hard, there really is not enough info for me to pick. Maybe Westburg, but it's close. Haskin Servideo
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Early 2021 Top Draft Prospects
Spl51 replied to hoosiers's topic in O's Amateur Draft and International Signings
https://2080baseball.com/2020/06/21-names-to-know-for-the-2021-mlb-draft/ Rocker and Brady House are my guys right now. -
Comps are not based on expected outcomes. How many times must this be said? Comps are used to give you a feel for the type of player they are or could be. Here's how I interpreted that comp: Baumler is a thin projectable high school pitcher, with precocious command, who has a more athletic delivery and body. That's it.
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2020 Orioles draft review: Elias ends up with three first round talents
Spl51 replied to Tony-OH's topic in Orioles Talk
This is something I've definitely learned a lot as I've gotten older, the internet is really good at amplifying and reinforcing our anger. Recognizing when your brain has basically closed you off to new perspectives is really hard, but it's really easy to see in others when you take a step back. -
Kelley and Wilcox are the opposite of the type of pitchers Elias wants, so I wasn't surprised. Low 3/4 delivery's with little deception, just average breaking balls, and low spin rates, leading them to get hit more than you would expect with their velocities. Bitsko was his target.
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2020 Orioles draft review: Elias ends up with three first round talents
Spl51 replied to Tony-OH's topic in Orioles Talk
Have you watched Kjerstad play defense? He's not a DH by any stretch. Reminds me a lot of Aaron Judge. Huge arm, seriously it's plus plus. He's surprisingly fast, but he's a big guy so his routes look a little awkward. Traditional right field profile in a really good way. -
2020 Orioles draft review: Elias ends up with three first round talents
Spl51 replied to Tony-OH's topic in Orioles Talk
I'm whelmed by this draft, but it obviously remains to be seen how this draft will look in 2-3 years. Only thing that kinda sucks is that Bitsko got poached by the Rays. -
Where do Kjerstad/Westburg fit on the 2023/24 team
Spl51 replied to wildcard's topic in Orioles Talk
Luke actually retweeted this tweet yesterday: -
Who do you want at 39?
Spl51 replied to Three Run Homer's topic in O's Amateur Draft and International Signings
Watch everything from 2:20 on. Hitting 97. That change is a 60-70, and his breaking ball flashes plus.