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Are the Orioles a Top 5 team?

SilentJames

By SilentJames
in Orioles Talk

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SilentJames Hangout Veteran Council

SilentJames

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In know that the Vlad acquisition has us all excited, some more than others. We have had a couple threads saying the Orioles would contend for a wild card, finish in second etc.

Well, in my mind a team needs to be in the top 5 in the league to be a legit competitor for the wild card.

In theory those five teams should have at least two of the three division winners and then the closest wild card teams.

Rank the top 6 teams in the AL, and for fun why not rank 'em all.

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allstar1579 Hangout Grand Counsel

allstar1579

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In know that the Vlad acquisition has us all excited, some more than others. We have had a couple threads saying the Orioles would contend for a wild card, finish in second etc.

Well, in my mind a team needs to be in the top 5 in the league to be a legit competitor for the wild card.

In theory those five teams should have at least two of the three division winners and then the closest wild card teams.

Rank the top 6 teams in the AL, and for fun why not rank 'em all.

Sure, I'll go on record as saying they are a top 5 team...top 5 in the AL East.

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SilentJames Hangout Veteran Council

SilentJames

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I think the Orioles are the #2 team in the AL right now, behind Boston.

Boston

Baltimore

Texas

Minnesota

New York

Tampa Bay

There is very little mathematical chance that four AL east teams will be in the top 6 in the league. I mean the rest of the league must be awful in this scenario.

Remember, About half the team will be over 500, the other half will be below.

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Arthur_Bryant All-Star

Arthur_Bryant

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There is very little mathematical chance that four AL east teams will be in the top 6 in the league. I mean the rest of the league must be awful in this scenario.

Remember, About half the team will be over 500, the other half will be below.

Sometimes the losses aren't evenly distributed. Having two or three truly awful teams will distort the curve. In 2010 in the AL, only five teams were below .500, and one of those (LAA) was just one win short of .500. The other four teams (O's, Royals, Mariners, Indians) absorbed a disproportionate share of the losses.

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SilentJames Hangout Veteran Council

SilentJames

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Sometimes the losses aren't evenly distributed. Having two or three truly awful teams will distort the curve. In 2010 in the AL, only five teams were below .500, and one of those (LAA) was just one win short of .500. The other four teams (O's, Royals, Mariners, Indians) absorbed a disproportionate share of the losses.

Hence the qualifier, about.

14 teams, and it usually breaks down to about 7 teams, give or take a couple are over 500.

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