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Rule 5 Draft


phattybeers

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After reading for weeks about the O's plans from multiple sources I think it is evident that after a possible Bedard, Tejada, Mora, or Hernandez trade most of our moves are going to be in the Rule 5 Draft. I know there was a change last year that allowed for teams to protect players for an additional year.

Are there any players out there for us to snab since we pick 4th? Also, I think BA will come out with a list soon as I am pretty sure they did last year. It would be great to get a Josh Hamilton type, but my money is mostly on relievers! Your thoughts?

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I'd be shocked if we didn't pick up a few guys in the Rule 5 draft and give them a hard look. For one thing, I'd bet almost anything there are some shortstops out there who are superior to Fahey and Hernandez. Your point about relievers is a good one, too.

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This is a guy I would target:

Mike MacDonald

http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?n=Mike%20MacDonald&pos=P&sid=milb&t=p_pbp&pid=453973

http://www.minorleaguesplits.com/cgi-bin/pl.cgi?pl=453973&tm=SyrIL&bp=p

A groundball pitcher that was extremely unlucky vs. LH hitters. He's still starting but he was drafted as a reliever...

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  • 2 weeks later...

Here's another arm that the White Sox didn't protect. He threw 12.5 scoreless innings in the AFL and could be a good bullpen arm for us. My guess is he'll be the first arm off the board though to the DRays...

Fernando Hernandez Jr.

http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?n=Fernando%20Hernandez&pos=P&sid=milb&t=p_pbp&pid=467761

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We will be picking 5th. I wouldn't mind taking a flier on former KC first-rounder and talented outfield prospect Chris Lubanski. The following is BA's view before his 2007 season. He played well at AA before bombing at AAA.

He is still a young man with upside... can't hurt to try him this spring and see what we got.

Chris Lubanski, of Born: March 24, 1985 • B-T: L-L • Ht: 6-3 • Wt: 206

Drafted: HS--Schwenksville, Pa., 2003 (1st round) • Signed by: Sean Rooney

Background: Always among the youngest players in his league, Lubanski has shown the ability to make adjustments as the season progresses as evidenced by a career-long trend of second-half surges. The fifth overall pick in the 2003 draft had a .704 on-base plus slugging percentage before the 2006 all-star break, compared to a .978 OPS afterward.

Strengths: Though he has filled out since being drafted, Lubanski is still very athletic. He has plus speed and a smooth stroke with leverage that bodes well for power. His plate discipline and pitch recognition continue to improve, and he led the Texas League in walks in 2006. He has good range in the outfield.

Weaknesses: Though he runs well, Lubanski isn't the speedster he was billed as coming out of high school. He's not adept at stealing bases and is tentative in the outfield. His routes, jumps and arm are all fringy, making him a left fielder rather than a center fielder. He sometimes misses hittable pitches when he gets them. He hit just .225 against lefthanders in 2006 because he lunges too often and needs to trust his hands more.

The Future: Lubanski looked like a possible first-round bust by mid-2005, but he has turned his career around, and the Royals see him as their long-term answer in left field. He'll probably spend most of 2007 in Triple-A.

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I may be dead wrong on this, but it was my understanding that teams that do not have an available spot on their 40 man roster, cannot participate in the rule 5 draft. The Royals, Pirates, and Rays all have 40 on their roster right now, while the O's have 36. With those 3 out, won't we get the first pick?

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I may be dead wrong on this, but it was my understanding that teams that do not have an available spot on their 40 man roster, cannot participate in the rule 5 draft. The Royals, Pirates, and Rays all have 40 on their roster right now, while the O's have 36. With those 3 out, won't we get the first pick?

I think that's true, but I also believe that any of those teams could free up a spot any time up to the start of the Rule 5 draft.

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