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Oswalt reportedly close to signing with Cardinals


Frobby

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    • I like avoiding SPs in general in the rebuild.  TINSTAAPP is a thing because (as the thread somewhere says) "they all break." Teams chase pitching because of everything people are saying.  High quality, healthy pitching is expensive in every sense of the word.  Which also means position players fall.  Warren Buffett 101 "Be greedy when the market is fearful.  And be fearful when the market is greedy." Elias almost certainly feels that position players have a higher floor than SPs.  Vs. the stars and scrubs (real prospects or not) type mentality.  **As a coach that's a struggle too.  Do I focus on the stars because they're going places?  Or do I focus on the scrubs to raise the floor of the team?  Org building isn't an apples to apples comp to me coaching.  But maybe more than we think. But we're out of the rebuild now (liftoff).  Elias has shifted SOME over the last 2 years drafting by taking SPs earlier.  I really doubt he will ever draft an SP in the first round.  In 90% of cases, I'm fine with that.  But hope to see some type of trend toward taking an SP or 2 in day 1.  Is it BPA or needs based?  Or some type of mash-up of those 2 with a portfolio management chase for Alpha while reducing Beta? Not many of the 2-5th round college OFers has been much of anything.  Plus, we're now getting multiple day 1 picks (near top 100).  Everything after that is basically a lottery ticket regardless of position. Maybe there is wisdom in drafting SPs there and trading them for established SPs (ala Burnes/Hall+, Eflin/Baumeister+).  It negates development risk and minimizes health risk (still/always some but targetted at the MLB level where you want it).  The cost is team control.   Maybe there is some wisdom in signing rebound candidates annually as rotation fillers?  We have the home park that will help rebounders get back on the map for big market teams.  Not saying 100% or even 60% of the rotation should be that type.  But our #3 or 4 guy could be a rebounder.  And a AAA stashed guy too.
    • That’s quite nice handful of picks . I hope Elias rolls the dice on drafting pitchers  .  Don’t wait until near the end of  draft to select pitchers 
    • Definitely disappointed they were not able to get a pass rusher or safety. Getting a dime corner is very underwhelming. Guess EDC think the Ravens can just outscore everyone.
    • I don’t think anyone with any degree on intelligence believes Rogers can be counted on as a viable member of this rotation  The plan is to upgrade the team to go after the World Series.    If they bring in two better guys they can make Rogers earn his way back and trade a guy like Kremer.    plus Grayson requires a back up plan as his Lat issues can come back at anytime. Which eliminates taking a shot on Snell and his adductor.
    • They eventually have to start developing their own pitching.  You absolutely have to have pitching to win.  If you cannot develop your own pitching you are forced to acquire it via: 1.  Established pitchers via free agency, usually forcing you to overpay 2.  Trade, again, you generally have to overpay (look at Rogers and he wasn't even established) 3.  Look for diamonds in the rough, maybe you get lucky and fix a few of them.  This is more of hope than strategy The price of pitching is only going to get worse.  The draft strategy needs to be reconsidered.  
    • It would be incredibly stupid to take one of the few pitching prospects we have and trade him, when we can find a #3 SP in free agency. 
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