Jump to content

Playoff Percentages

waroriole

By waroriole
in Orioles Talk

Recommended Posts

Hallas Hangout Grand Counsel

Hallas

Posted
Posted

By the way, Pythagorean expectation has been around for a long time. Certainly longer than the last time a team laughed at their pythag. I'm totally confused as to why everyone is making a big deal over their pythag this season. Where was this poo-pooing of the 2007 D'backs, 2008 Angels, or 2004 Yankees?

I completely recognize that the O's are outperforming their talent level - I consider this team to be an 81-84 win team that's been fortunate. That said, I kind of feel like the media expected the O's to be so bad that they are suddenly pulling Pythag out of their rear ends to cover their, well, rear ends.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Replies 120
  • Created
  • Last Reply
waroriole Hangout Grand Counsel

waroriole

Posted
  • Author
Posted
Our playoff % has more to do with LAA than Oakland. One Oakland loss at this point won't have much impact if I had to guess.

It should go slightly higher based on the fact that there is 1 less game to play, and we still would have to lose the same number of games to miss out.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Bradysburns All-Star

Bradysburns

Posted
Posted
It should go slightly higher based on the fact that there is 1 less game to play, and we still would have to lose the same number of games to miss out.

I find it odd that Oakland's percentage is higher than ours - and we're ahead of them in the wildcard. And we won tonight, and the A's lost. Not sure what the calculus is here from old ESPN.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
OFFNY Hangout Grand Counsel

OFFNY

Posted
Posted
It should go even higher tonight with an Orioles win and an Athletics loss.

http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings

It should go slightly higher based on the fact that there is 1 less game to play, and we still would have to lose the same number of games to miss out.

We won AGAIN today, and AGAIN, our percentage stayed at 91.4 %.

Yes, the Yankees and the Angels both won, but as you stated, with every game that we win, we have 1 less to play, and would still have to lose the same number of games to miss out.

Oh, well. I guess all that really matters is that we won, we're still only a game behind the Yankees for the division title, and we're only 2 games behind the Rangers for the best record in the American League.

http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Frobby Hangout Grand Counsel

Frobby

Posted
Posted
We won AGAIN today, and AGAIN, our percentage stayed at 91.4 %.

Yes, the Yankees and the Angels both won, but as you stated, with every game that we win, we have 1 less to play, and would still have to lose the same number of games to miss out.

Oh, well. I guess all that really matters is that we won, we're still only a game behind the Yankees for the division title, and we're only 2 games behind the Rangers for the best record in the American League.

http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings

Our magic number is down to 7, with 11 games to play. That's what matters to me.

For what it's worth, Baseball Prospectus had us at 88.9% two days ago and we are at 92.5% now.

Just keep winning.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Go to topic listing

Orioles News and Information
Daily Organizational Boxscores

News

Orioles Roster Resource

Orioles Prospect Information

2022 Top 75 Prospects

Statistics

2022 Orioles Stats

2022 Orioles Minor League Stats

Baseball Savant Stats


  • Posts

    • Winter
      Playoff Roster

      By Winter · Posted

      If any combination of Irvin, Flaherty, Fuji, Baumann with the locks of Gibson, Webb, Wells, Hall, Coulombe, Cano, Perez are all in the bullpen im not sure we need 13 pitchers.    Is 3 long men really needed(Gibson/Irvin/Flaherty) with days off? Hall/Wells can go more than 1. No doubt Kremer would be the one who could turn it up out of the BP opposed to Gibson BUT if Kremer can give you a start of 5 good innings as a 4th starter thats hard to pass on. -- Hyde wants to play matchups like crazy of late so i do think they'll take 13. O's love close games, old extra inning rules could be a factor in need for more length. 
    • EddeeEddee
      Many Reasons to be Optimistic for the Postseason

      By EddeeEddee · Posted

      Mullins too.  Seems like only Adley has been fairly hot lately.  Hopefully Mountcastle's double tonight will get things going for everyone else.  Fingers crossed the several days off they'll get next week will help reenergize things.
    • seak05
      The 2023 attendance thread

      By seak05 · Posted

      I got through the gate at 5, was in line 4:45ish? And got a hoodie. It was pretty packed. Think some people just went for the hoodie though and then left early.    it was a different vibe at the ballpark, totally full, but people were just chilling and having fun, not really paying attention to the game, since the game itself didn’t mean much 
    • Moose Milligan
      Scoreboard watching

      By Moose Milligan · Posted

      Happy that the Mariners are done. 
    • PsychoBird68
      Playoff Roster

      By PsychoBird68 · Posted

      Bradish game 1 starter, Rodrigues game 2, Gibson game 3, Means game 4, all on short leashes with Kremer, Wells, Baumann, Webb, Hall, Coulombe, Cano and Perez in the pen....Henderson, Rutschman, Santander, Mountcastle, O'Hearn, Hays, Mullins, Westburg, Urias, Frazier, Hicks, McKenna, Mateo, McCann
    • Moose Milligan
      How long does your blank check for Elias last?

      By Moose Milligan · Posted

      I can see why people would say a WS win would solidify him as an elite GM but as pointed out the playoffs are a crap shoot. Elias isn’t at fault if the pitching craps the bed or if the bats go cold.    He already is elite. He’s stocked this franchise with more good young talent than we could have hoped. As long as the Orioles keep making the playoffs and as long as he keeps good talent coming through the system that’s what he’ll be judged on. In addition to being at the vanguard of how to pick up guys like O’Hearn, etc., that’s important too. 
    • PsychoBird68
      4th Playoff Starter: Gibson vs. Kremer

      By PsychoBird68 · Posted

      Gibson starts game 3 on the road and Means starts game 4 with Kremer in the pen as the longman with Means and Gibson on very short leashes...     

  • Popular Contributors

×
×
  • Create New...