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"The impact of qualifying offers on the FA class"


Can_of_corn

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Tacking on this fascinating piece of analysis by Dave Cameron from Fangraphs.

Not about Boras, but about the qualifying offers.

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-future-of-the-qualifying-offer/

That speculation gains some steam when we look at the prices for players who did not receive a qualifying offer, but were eligible to receive such an offer. Among those who didn’t receive an offer for 1/13:

Edwin Jackson: 4 years, $52 million

Angel Pagan: 4 years, $40 million

Mike Napoli: 3 years, $39 million

Torii Hunter: 2 years, $26 million

Three of the four signed deals for the exact same $13 million AAV that was established by the qualifying offer, but got that price on a multi-year deal rather than on a one year commitment. Pagan is the only one who fell short of an $13 million AAV, but given that he got four years at $10 million apiece, he’s obviously doing better than if he would have accepted 1/13. Toss in Cody Ross getting 3/26, and there are five free agents who weren’t offered, but then found a much better deal on the market.

A twitter update from Cameron:

David Cameron ‏

It will be interesting to see if guys headed towards free agency start negotiating anti-qualifying offer language into their deals.

David Cameron ‏

And now I see that the new CBA explicitly prohibits those kinds of agreements. Well, crap.
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