Jump to content

"The impact of qualifying offers on the FA class"


Can_of_corn

Recommended Posts

http://sports.yahoo.com/news/scott-boras---mr--january--title-faces-stiff-challenge-from-mlb-s-new-rules-on-free-agency--draft-picks-and-bonus-pool-money-032722424.html

Good overview on how the changes in the CBA have effected the free agent class.

(I still think Boras misplayed his hand and should have had some of his guys accept the offer)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Tacking on this fascinating piece of analysis by Dave Cameron from Fangraphs.

Not about Boras, but about the qualifying offers.

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-future-of-the-qualifying-offer/

That speculation gains some steam when we look at the prices for players who did not receive a qualifying offer, but were eligible to receive such an offer. Among those who didn’t receive an offer for 1/13:

Edwin Jackson: 4 years, $52 million

Angel Pagan: 4 years, $40 million

Mike Napoli: 3 years, $39 million

Torii Hunter: 2 years, $26 million

Three of the four signed deals for the exact same $13 million AAV that was established by the qualifying offer, but got that price on a multi-year deal rather than on a one year commitment. Pagan is the only one who fell short of an $13 million AAV, but given that he got four years at $10 million apiece, he’s obviously doing better than if he would have accepted 1/13. Toss in Cody Ross getting 3/26, and there are five free agents who weren’t offered, but then found a much better deal on the market.

A twitter update from Cameron:

David Cameron ‏

It will be interesting to see if guys headed towards free agency start negotiating anti-qualifying offer language into their deals.

David Cameron ‏

And now I see that the new CBA explicitly prohibits those kinds of agreements. Well, crap.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Posts

    • I find it interesting that the O’s are getting press for showing interest in RP these last few hours/days. Normally we find news when something actually happens (after the fact). This could be a good sign, if Agents are putting the news out there to draw more contract interest in the players they serve, since we know how tight-lipped ME and company can be.  The flip side is that the O’s get priced out on good acquisitions!    this should be an interesting offseason, more so than the last 5+ years.
    • ...unless we include Bautista in the trade [the plot thickens...]
    • Haha.  Too funny.  When did I ever say he didn’t have elite stuff?  I asked how you could call him a “high end” reliever.   Great. Fangraphs calls him a weapon at the back of any bullpen.  Big deal.     His results aren’t elite. Even last year.  His career whip is something like 1.3 which is where it was last year.  He gave up almost a hit per inning and he’s walked about 4.5-5 per 9 innings which is exactly what he did last year unless you want to hug the 8 walks in 24 IP with Toronto.  
    • Hi RZ, Sorry, didn't mean to direct that at you.  I just found his misuse of hypthetical ironic. 
    • ERA? Really? Lifetime ERA for a back of the BP reliever? Who just turned 27? OK. He doesn't have an elite lifetime ERA. I think I'm ok with that.  Just for comparison, Pete Fairbanks, Tampa's closer, has a lifetime ERA of 3.21. He any good?
    • Hicks gets wildly underrated on this board considering his youth and pure stuff.
    • From Fangraphs: "Possibly the best right-handed reliever on the market, Hicks’ sales pitch is simple: He might have the fastest fastball ever to reach free agency. But his case is further bolstered by his 2023 season, which might have been his most complete season yet statistically speaking. He made 65 regular season appearances between the Cardinals and Blue Jays with a 3.29 ERA, 3.22 FIP, and 3.36 xFIP, striking out a career-high 28.4% of batters faced. He allowed just nine barrels on 168 batted balls (5.4%) and an average exit velocity of just 86.7 mph – good for the 89th percentile league-wide. On those balls in play, 58.9% were on the ground, a 96th-percentile clip and yet somehow below his career average. As it turns out, strikeouts and soft groundballs are a potent combination." It goes on to address that he walks too many guy, as I have already addressed, before concluding:"Hicks has had his own ups and downs, but he’s an undeniable weapon for the back end of any bullpen." Now if you want to argue that he is asking more than you are willing to pay, fine. I get it. But don't tell me he doesn't have elite stuff. He does what you want a back end guy to do. He gets Ks and GB. 
  • Popular Contributors

  • Popular Now

×
×
  • Create New...