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Don't mean to spoil the fun (I'm loving this thread!) but I think a realistic number is somewhere around 35 HR. Which is great. And also notice that he's been producing in other ways too, like that sac fly today, and he's also been a doubles machine. If you have a guy who can get all kinds of different power hits and not just HRs, the sheer HR stat becomes less significant. Unless, of course, he REALLY DOES continue to hit a home run every game, or even every other game. I can't imagine he actually will, but it's possible.

If he's only 90% as effective defensively at 1B as Reynolds at his peak, but continues to lead the team on all the offensive stats that matter (RBI, OBP), we've gotten way more than our money's worth and I'm completely satisfied.

I wonder if he will purposefully stop hitting HRs for a few games to quell the ridiculous accusations of steroids and to prevent him from being intentionally walked every time he steps up to the plate. Maybe he can settle for a few more doubles with AJ ahead of him on the base paths. Kind of humble it down a little bit. And then come back after like 3 days off from hitting a home run and smack another grand slam. ;)

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Don't mean to spoil the fun (I'm loving this thread!) but I think a realistic number is somewhere around 35 HR.

This would actually imply that he's become a worse home run hitter than last year. Last year he only played 139 games, with 515 AB, and hit 33 HR, one every 15.6 AB. Presumably he'll have more than 515 AB the rest of this season, unless injured. Suppose he has 600 more AB, in addition to the 15 he's already had. At last year's pace he'd hit 38 more HR, plus the four he's already hit, for a total of 42. If he's become a better HR hitter than last year, then watch out!!!

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Don't mean to spoil the fun (I'm loving this thread!) but I think a realistic number is somewhere around 35 HR. Which is great. And also notice that he's been producing in other ways too, like that sac fly today, and he's also been a doubles machine. If you have a guy who can get all kinds of different power hits and not just HRs, the sheer HR stat becomes less significant. Unless, of course, he REALLY DOES continue to hit a home run every game, or even every other game. I can't imagine he actually will, but it's possible.

If he's only 90% as effective defensively at 1B as Reynolds at his peak, but continues to lead the team on all the offensive stats that matter (RBI, OBP), we've gotten way more than our money's worth and I'm completely satisfied.

I wonder if he will purposefully stop hitting HRs for a few games to quell the ridiculous accusations of steroids and to prevent him from being intentionally walked every time he steps up to the plate. Maybe he can settle for a few more doubles with AJ ahead of him on the base paths. Kind of humble it down a little bit. And then come back after like 3 days off from hitting a home run and smack another grand slam. ;)

That would be okay to me.

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