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What Would You Give Davis


Brendan25

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Jose Bautista is a perfect comp. He got $14M/per year for 4 years with Toronto. (4 for 56)

That is the floor for Davis. I would be ecstatic if DD could sign him that cheap. I would definitely not go higher than 5 years and I wouldn't go higher than 17-18 a year.

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Jose Bautista is a perfect comp. He got $14M/per year for 4 years with Toronto. (4 for 56)

That is the floor for Davis. I would be ecstatic if DD could sign him that cheap. I would definitely not go higher than 5 years and I wouldn't go higher than 17-18 a year.

I would love 4/56, but don't see that happening. I think 5/75 is the lowest that may be able to get something done and I'm not sure I'd go much above that. Maybe 5/80, but that's a stretch.

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Jose Bautista is a perfect comp. He got $14M/per year for 4 years with Toronto. (4 for 56)

That is the floor for Davis. I would be ecstatic if DD could sign him that cheap. I would definitely not go higher than 5 years and I wouldn't go higher than 17-18 a year.

I would love 4/56, but don't see that happening. I think 5/75 is the lowest that may be able to get something done and I'm not sure I'd go much above that. Maybe 5/80, but that's a stretch.

Keep in mind Bautista was a super-2 with only one year of arbitration remaining. He received 8MM for that season, followed by 4/56, plus a 14MM buyout year. 5/56 guaranteed all in all.

Davis is not a super-2 and has 2 years of arbitration remaining. It's unlikely he'd earn more than about 2/20 if Baltimore went year-to-year with Chris. A 5/75 to 5/80 contract essentially means giving Davis 20MM/yr over 3 FA seasons. I don't think he has earned that kind of commitment.

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Figure close to 30 M the next two years of arb. so guarantee that and give him 18 M for each year of FA he gives us. I'd say 5/80 M.

What are you projecting in terms of arbitration for Davis? $10MM in 2014, $20MM in 2015? That seems way too high, even if he continued 2013 production.

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I like it, but I am worried he will want in the 100+ million range.

That would be ridiculous. In his career, Davis has posted one above average season. At the age of 27. His career numbers are almost identical to his 2012 campaign for the Orioles, in which he was on-the-dot average in terms of fWAR.

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Keep in mind Bautista was a super-2 with only one year of arbitration remaining. He received 8MM for that season, followed by 4/56, plus a 14MM buyout year. 5/56 guaranteed all in all.

Davis is not a super-2 and has 2 years of arbitration remaining. It's unlikely he'd earn more than about 2/20 if Baltimore went year-to-year with Chris. A 5/75 to 5/80 contract essentially means giving Davis 20MM/yr over 3 FA seasons. I don't think he has earned that kind of commitment.

If you use Ryan Howards arb. figure after 2008, you'll see Davis will get about 10-12 M this year. Unless he implodes he'll get a raise the following year. So figure 25-30 the next two years.
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He has said he would like to sign an extension. What is the max that you would give him if you could sign him this offseason?

6/85 million is what we gave AJ. I think I would be cool with that.

Give him B-Rob's money ($10 million) next year, then Nick's money ($15 million) for the following five years. Solid extension without an increase in payroll.

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Let's see, he's 27 and finally after consistent playing time has put together a very good and an insanely good season (2012, 2013). I think if you can lock him up for 5-6 years, you go for it. Ideally something like 5 years. He's making $3.3 this year..you figure in arbitration he'll probably see a jump to $9-$10. So, that's a starter for 2014. I'm thinking something like this:

2014: $10 million

2015: $12 million

2016: $14 million

2017: $16 million

2018: $18 million

Incentives and option for 2019. So, maybe a 5 year/$70 million deal.

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