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PECOTA hates us


Frobby

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Davis .801 OPS

Flaherty .686

Weeks .687

Hardy .692

Machado .721

Lough .668

Jones .775

Markakis .738

Wieters .729

Reimold .735

Urrutia .731

Young .721

Team OPS: .722.

They have Davis hitting 26 HR with 79 RBI. And playing 75% of the time.

Rotation:

Chen 3.95 ERA

Tillman 4.18

Gonzalez 4.05

Norris 4.59

Gausman 3.86

Overall, PECOTA projects us as a 75 win team that will score 686 runs and allow 746.

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Wow, and .722 this year. Guess we should have kept Brob and Valencia. Not a big fan of these models.

Well, PECOTA is the low-side outlier at the moment. I think it is way too pessimistic to think that a team full of guys who are in their prime is going to collectively drop 22 OPS points. I do think we may drop a few.

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Well, PECOTA is the low-side outlier at the moment. I think it is way too pessimistic to think that a team full of guys who are in their prime is going to collectively drop 22 OPS points. I do think we may drop a few.

Yep, and you're educated guess of us dropping a few points is as likely to be right as their mathematical projection.

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Yep, and you're educated guess of us dropping a few points is as likely to be right as their mathematical projection.

The same mathematical projections that had us at 74 wins last year, and probably even worse in 2012. Its best to take their projections with a grain of salt when it comes to the O's.

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That's the impact of the loss of McLouth's mammoth bat. We'll never be able to fully recover from that. I don't know why people pay any attention to these things . They're mostly a joke. Over under Davis hit's more than 26 HR. Anyone?......... Bueller?

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That's the impact of the loss of McLouth's mammoth bat. We'll never be able to fully recover from that. I don't know why people pay any attention to these things . They're mostly a joke. Over under Davis hit's more than 26 HR. Anyone?......... Bueller?

PECOTA says that there is a 55% chance he exceeds his projection.

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