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When could the O's prospects arrive?


wildcard

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Looking at Tony's prospect list here is how the O's farm might impact the O's major league team. ETAs are Tony's best guess. (I added Drake and Navarro)

2015

#4 - Zach Davies - Could be promoted to O's mid season. Spot Starter/Set up guy.

#5 - Alvarez - Promoted mid season. 4th outfielder. Might platoon.

#7 - Walker - Mid season. DH/1B

#9 - Yaz - End of the season. 4th outfielder.

#12 - Tyler Wilson - 5th starter if injury hits O's rotation

#13 - Tim Berry - Setup/Long reliever

#16 - Mike Wright - 5th starter/swingman/Setup

??? - Oliver Drake - Reliever/Closer

??? - Rey Navarro - Utility Infielder

2016

#1 - Bundy - In the O's rotation mid season. Must be on the O's roster to start the season. He will be out of options. O's may be able to apply for another option for missing the 2013 season but this is not a sure thing.

#8 - Bridwell - Mid season. Reliever

2017

#2 - Harvey - In the O's rotation mid season

#3 - Sisco - Bats gets him to the O's by opening day, position in question

2018

#6 - Reyes - 3b?

#10 - Brian Gonzalez - 4th or 5th starter

Note: Don't forget Henry Urrutia who is past prospect stage but still in the high minors.

After the top 10 Tony didn't put ETAs on some of the prospects so they are not included.

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Anything is possible. Prospects seldom make it on the projected timetable. If Jomar Reyes is starting OD in 2018 at age 21, we have something special. Of all the guys listed for 2015, all are possible, but none are probable. Navarro has a realistic chance of starting the year on the team. I don't think I would say that about any of the others.

Hopefully, we have little room for most of them. And that we can trade them for something we need.

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    • Works for me,  as long as the first piece is a Norby type!  Only one of Ortiz/Westburg/Cowser/Kjerstad should be traded for Cease.  Let them pick one of them and a couple in the 8-15 range then a lottery pick or two if needed.  But giving up 2 of those is to pricy for the return.  I like Cease, but personally value him as a very solid #3 starter.  Sure, he COULD perform better than that,  but I wouldn't bet on it.  Maybe he reverts back to his 2022 form, but I think it more likely that what we get is what we saw from him in 2023, with an improvement in numbers due to the defense behind him. 
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    • Cease is a solid MLB starting pitcher with 2 years of control  who's team has clearly made it known that he's available.  Of course there is a lot of interest.  There is a lot of interest in the Orioles' prospects, as well.  Fans of both teams are hopeful that their team will get maximum value for their assets in any trade.  I'm sure that it is sometimes difficult for GMs to reach a meeting of the minds on a player's value, in which case they need to work out a restructure of the discussed deal that may not include that player.  I think Elias' opinion on Ortiz is likely to be pretty close to what posters on this site are telling you.  If the White Sox GM views Ortiz as you do, it would seem that a deal between the two teams would most likely not have Ortiz included.  I'm sure that isn't all that unusual and the GMs just turn the page and look at working out a trade involving other players/prospects.  What confuses me is that you seem to rate Ortiz lower than we do and lower than the various sites rate him, but would like a trade of Cease for Cowser and Ortiz.  I'm against that deal because I think 2 prospects rated that highly would be an overpay.  It seems to me, you agree.  You simply rate Ortiz lower.  Seems to me that the answer in such an impasse that would make both parties happy would be to replace Ortiz with another prospect that is lower rated than Ortiz -- which would be of equal value in your mind, since you rate Ortiz lower and still think the proposed trade is a fair one.  Make sense?  Maybe replace Ortiz with Norby.
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    • 100% agree with you.  Especially when you haves waves of prospects coming up behind these guys.
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